TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12287316
Played Jul 23Finished
Lars Hubner
Home
9.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–4Last 6Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113411––––
Jeromy Loffler
Away
1.04
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:32 and never touched — 89.6% is still 89.6%
Graded at full timeJeromy Loffler to win
89.6%
89.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLars Hubner above · Jeromy Loffler below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 59 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Jeromy Loffler at 89.6%
59 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Loffler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hubner 1248 vs Loffler 1746
Loffler
Correct
both rated, 498 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubner 40% vs Loffler 80%
Loffler
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubner 33% vs Loffler 70%
Loffler
Correct
37pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubner +2 · Loffler -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Loffler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loffler form (80%) is below what odds imply (96%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubner 9.00 / Loffler 1.04
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Loffler)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12287316
Hubner9.00
33%won 2 of 6 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 2 of 6
Loffler1.04
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubnerLofflerBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 6 vs 60 / 11233.3%53.6%2 / 6 vs 60 / 112Avg sets wonper match1.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match28.335.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
LofflerHubner 9.00/Loffler 1.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.6%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Loffler won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Hubner10
LAug 4 · 08:00K. Zimmermann1.041111113L. Hubner9.006130LAug 4 · 07:00L. Hubner9.004191451M. Neumaier1.04111716113LAug 3 · 15:30A. Mino1.011111113L. Hubner12.008760LAug 3 · 13:30L. Kraus1.0611117113L. Hubner8.00641151LAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:00M. Nogami1.131111123L. Hubner5.5033100LAug 3 · 07:00J. Willeke1.101111113L. Hubner6.509860LJul 24 · 08:00L. Hubner10.00671361D. Rinderer1.03111111113WJul 23 · 15:30L. Hubner2.4011913133S. Amann1.5091111111WJul 23 · 14:59L. Hubner2.5011913133S. Amann1.5091111111
J. Loffler10
LAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771LAug 3 · 17:30J. Loffler—118621M. Neumaier—91111113WAug 3 · 16:00J. Willeke—631291J. Loffler—111110113WAug 3 · 14:00K. Zimmermann2.6012118141J. Loffler1.4214211163WAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:30J. Loffler2.357380A. Mino1.501111113WAug 3 · 08:00J. Loffler1.27811911113L. Kraus3.2511311692LJul 28 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.221111113J. Loffler3.804620WJul 28 · 09:45J. Loffler1.321111113K. Zimmermann3.006770WJul 28 · 07:30N. Kizakisz6.256640J. Loffler1.081111113
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