TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12314628
Played Jul 28Finished
Martin Boltik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119911911––
Ales Krcil
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Boltik to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Boltik above · Ales Krcil below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Martin Boltik at 57.0%
76 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Boltik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Boltik 1608 vs Krcil 1590
Boltik
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boltik 80% vs Krcil 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boltik 80% vs Krcil 60%
Boltik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boltik -1 · Krcil +3
Krcil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Boltik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoltik 1.73 / Krcil 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Boltik)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12314628
Boltik1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 24 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Krcil2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 5 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoltikKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 110 vs 33 / 5456.4%61.1%62 / 110 vs 33 / 54Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
BoltikBoltik 1.73/Krcil 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Boltik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krcil won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Boltik10
WAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 19:55M. Boltik1.731111119113P. Kubat2.0019131142LAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 18 · 22:40J. Slavicek1.5388111542M. Boltik2.381111713113WAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172WAug 18 · 19:55M. Boltik1.8311711113J. Cousin1.83611791LAug 18 · 18:55M. Boltik2.38911521J. Slavicek1.5311611113WAug 2 · 21:54M. Boltik1.44511911113R. Zeman2.6311611472WAug 2 · 20:20T. Jr3.256960M. Boltik1.331111113
A. Krcil10
LAug 18 · 18:00V. Koutnik1.83591111113A. Krcil1.8311115642LAug 18 · 16:50V. Koutnik1.911111117113A. Krcil1.8013881192WAug 18 · 15:50A. Krcil1.731611113J. Vintr2.0014970WAug 18 · 14:20S. Matousch3.4074110A. Krcil1.301111133WJul 28 · 21:54A. Krcil1.4471111113Z. Vyskocil2.63118861WJul 28 · 19:50A. Krcil1.831111117113T. Barsa1.8356131172WJul 28 · 18:20Z. Vyskocil2.505930A. Krcil1.501111113WJul 20 · 17:23A. Krcil1.3012113123T. Rein3.4010911101LJul 20 · 16:20A. Krcil1.57671111132T. Jr2.25111167153WJul 20 · 15:20A. Krcil1.5361111113T. Rein2.38115761
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