TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12314637
Played Jul 28Finished
Ales Krcil
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151161113711117
Tomas Barsa
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Barsa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAles Krcil above · Tomas Barsa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Barsa at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Barsa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1581 vs Barsa 1526
Krcil
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 60% vs Barsa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 50% vs Barsa 70%
Barsa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil +2 · Barsa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Barsa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 1.83 / Barsa 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Barsa)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12314637
Krcil1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Barsa1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilBarsaBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 53 vs 68 / 12360.4%55.3%32 / 53 vs 68 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaKrcil 1.83/Barsa 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krcil won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Krcil10
LAug 18 · 18:00V. Koutnik1.83591111113A. Krcil1.8311115642LAug 18 · 16:50V. Koutnik1.911111117113A. Krcil1.8013881192WAug 18 · 15:50A. Krcil1.731611113J. Vintr2.0014970WAug 18 · 14:20S. Matousch3.4074110A. Krcil1.301111133WJul 28 · 21:54A. Krcil1.4471111113Z. Vyskocil2.63118861WJul 28 · 20:50M. Boltik1.73511991A. Krcil2.0011911113WJul 28 · 18:20Z. Vyskocil2.505930A. Krcil1.501111113WJul 20 · 17:23A. Krcil1.3012113123T. Rein3.4010911101LJul 20 · 16:20A. Krcil1.57671111132T. Jr2.25111167153WJul 20 · 15:20A. Krcil1.5361111113T. Rein2.38115761
T. Barsa10
LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113WSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111WSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113WAug 31 · 21:53T. Barsa1.5011711113Z. Vyskocil2.50811581LAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961WAug 31 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.3861111182T. Barsa1.53111128113WAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:20T. Jr2.20118119113T. Barsa1.6141191182
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