TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12314627
Played Jul 28Finished
Zbynek Vyskocil
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911311––––
Ales Krcil
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeAles Krcil to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Vyskocil above · Ales Krcil below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 50 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Ales Krcil at 62.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Vyskocil 1–2 Ales Krcil Zbynek Vyskocil has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:27What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Krcil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1471 vs Krcil 1569
Krcil
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 60% vs Krcil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 40% vs Krcil 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -2 · Krcil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Krcil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 2.50 / Krcil 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Krcil)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12314627
Vyskocil2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 55 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Krcil1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 24 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVyskocil1wins
AwayKrcil2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKrcil leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil1Krcil2n = 3Krcil took 2 of 3
S2Vyskocil1Krcil2n = 3Krcil took 2 of 3
S3Vyskocil1Krcil2n = 3Krcil took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricVyskocilKrcilV − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.044.3−6.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 623 vs 31 / 5248.6%59.6%303 / 623 vs 31 / 52Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrcilVyskocil 2.50/Krcil 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Krcil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krcil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 15 · 18:50Z. Vyskocil—141183113A. Krcil—129111182
LJun 29 · 19:55Z. Vyskocil—71311101A. Krcil—11157123
LJun 17 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil—13940A. Krcil—1511113
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133WSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113WSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113LSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113WSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133LSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113WSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113LSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113
A. Krcil10
LAug 18 · 18:00V. Koutnik1.83591111113A. Krcil1.8311115642LAug 18 · 16:50V. Koutnik1.911111117113A. Krcil1.8013881192WAug 18 · 15:50A. Krcil1.731611113J. Vintr2.0014970WAug 18 · 14:20S. Matousch3.4074110A. Krcil1.301111133WJul 28 · 21:54A. Krcil1.4471111113Z. Vyskocil2.63118861WJul 28 · 20:50M. Boltik1.73511991A. Krcil2.0011911113WJul 28 · 19:50A. Krcil1.831111117113T. Barsa1.8356131172WJul 20 · 17:23A. Krcil1.3012113123T. Rein3.4010911101LJul 20 · 16:20A. Krcil1.57671111132T. Jr2.25111167153WJul 20 · 15:20A. Krcil1.5361111113T. Rein2.38115761
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