TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12288030
Played Jul 23Finished
Denys Kovtanyuk
Home
4.15
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711411118511––
Anton Veliiev
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:00 and never touched — 78.0% is still 78.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
78.0%
78.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
711411118511––
H2H Denys Kovtanyuk 0–4 Anton Veliiev Denys Kovtanyuk has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (78%)
Veliiev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Veliiev
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovtanyuk 1369 vs Veliiev 1676
Veliiev
Correct
both rated, 307 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovtanyuk 0% vs Veliiev 80%
Veliiev
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovtanyuk 20% vs Veliiev 50%
Veliiev
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovtanyuk -5 · Veliiev +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Veliiev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovtanyuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (24%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovtanyuk 4.15 / Veliiev 1.17
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Veliiev)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #12288030
Kovtanyuk4.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 18 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Veliiev1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 57 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKovtanyuk0wins
AwayVeliiev4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderVeliiev leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovtanyukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVeliiev100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovtanyuk1Veliiev3n = 4Veliiev took 3 of 4
S2Kovtanyuk1Veliiev3n = 4Veliiev took 3 of 4
S3Kovtanyuk2Veliiev2n = 4split evenly
S4Kovtanyuk0Veliiev3n = 3Veliiev took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKovtanyukVeliievK − VBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.042.2−9.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovtanyukVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 232 vs 122 / 20729.3%58.9%68 / 232 vs 122 / 207Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievKovtanyuk 4.15/Veliiev 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 22 · 18:30D. Kovtanyuk—8470A. Veliiev—1111113
LMar 14 · 21:05D. Kovtanyuk—761191A. Veliiev—11119113
LFeb 15 · 07:05D. Kovtanyuk—11138852A. Veliiev—8111111113
LFeb 14 · 20:05D. Kovtanyuk—9121131A. Veliiev—11146113
D. Kovtanyuk10
LJul 24 · 21:30K. Kowalewski—1111113D. Kovtanyuk—6660LJul 24 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.11111011113D. Kovtanyuk5.05912981LJul 24 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk3.25861161K. Guzy1.2611118113LJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.5051111622P. Kos1.43114911113WJul 23 · 21:40D. Kovtanyuk6.2011811173K. Kowalewski1.078119151LJul 23 · 20:00K. Guzy1.121111113D. Kovtanyuk4.909990WJul 23 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk1.8651111113P. Kos1.78116851LJul 23 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk4.55119911102K. Kowalewski1.14911119123WJul 23 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.49751311113B. Gola1.43111111582
A. Veliiev10
WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos4.4011811113A. Veliiev1.18911651LJul 23 · 19:30A. Veliiev2.1784100K. Kowalewski1.561111123WJul 23 · 17:30B. Gola2.901A. Veliiev1.323
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