TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12288845
Played Jul 23Finished
Denys Kovtanyuk
Home
2.49
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7115111311115118
Blazej Gola
Away
1.43
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeBlazej Gola to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
7115111311115118
H2H Denys Kovtanyuk 16–18 Blazej Gola Denys Kovtanyuk has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (64%)
Gola
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-18 in 34
Gola
Wrong
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovtanyuk 1381 vs Gola 1468
Gola
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovtanyuk 0% vs Gola 40%
Gola
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovtanyuk 20% vs Gola 50%
Gola
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovtanyuk -5 · Gola -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Gola) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovtanyuk 2.49 / Gola 1.43
Signal prob.29% / 72%
Edge (Gola)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12288845
Kovtanyuk2.49
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 18 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Gola1.43
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 35 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovtanyuk4wins
AwayGola6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGola leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovtanyuk100%3 of 3
AwayGola85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovtanyuk3Gola7n = 10Gola took 7 of 10
S2Kovtanyuk3Gola7n = 10Gola took 7 of 10
S3Kovtanyuk2Gola8n = 10Gola took 8 of 10
S4Kovtanyuk3Gola0n = 3Kovtanyuk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovtanyukGolaK − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.734.0−6.3per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovtanyukGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 233 vs 271 / 59929.2%45.2%68 / 233 vs 271 / 599Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.234.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GolaKovtanyuk 2.49/Gola 1.43
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.5%
Gola · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kovtanyuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk—6950B. Gola—1111113
WJul 15 · 21:40D. Kovtanyuk—11113113B. Gola—781171
LJul 15 · 14:30D. Kovtanyuk—9650B. Gola—1111113
LMay 21 · 22:00D. Kovtanyuk—7650B. Gola—1111113
WMay 21 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk—111211113B. Gola—7101391
LMay 20 · 16:00D. Kovtanyuk—53110B. Gola—1111133
WJan 7 · 21:00D. Kovtanyuk—1111113B. Gola—6890
LAug 10 · 08:35D. Kovtanyuk—7670B. Gola—1111113
WJun 26 · 15:00D. Kovtanyuk—371111113B. Gola—11117792
LJun 17 · 22:00D. Kovtanyuk—9950B. Gola—1111113
D. Kovtanyuk10
LJul 24 · 21:30K. Kowalewski—1111113D. Kovtanyuk—6660LJul 24 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.11111011113D. Kovtanyuk5.05912981LJul 24 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk3.25861161K. Guzy1.2611118113LJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.5051111622P. Kos1.43114911113WJul 23 · 21:40D. Kovtanyuk6.2011811173K. Kowalewski1.078119151LJul 23 · 20:00K. Guzy1.121111113D. Kovtanyuk4.909990WJul 23 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk1.8651111113P. Kos1.78116851LJul 23 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk4.55119911102K. Kowalewski1.14911119123LJul 23 · 14:30D. Kovtanyuk4.15741151A. Veliiev1.1711118113
B. Gola10
LSep 4 · 21:40A. Duch1.371111113B. Gola2.906870LSep 4 · 20:30B. Gola2.5511970K. Guzy1.461311113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Duch1.361111123B. Gola2.8036100LSep 4 · 17:30B. Gola3.6011134632K. Kowalewski1.258111111113WSep 4 · 16:30D. Bucko1.471171412112B. Gola2.507111214133LSep 4 · 16:00B. Gola2.25115811112M. Szymanski1.54811113133LSep 3 · 21:40B. Gola2.507113111D. Bucko1.4711911133WSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:30B. Gola3.306111281K. Kowalewski1.25111310113LSep 3 · 17:30K. Zapala1.601111123B. Gola2.2049100
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