TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12289383
Played Jul 23Finished
Denys Kovtanyuk
Home
4.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1199119111191012
Kamil Kowalewski
Away
1.14
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:11 and never touched — 91.0% is still 91.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
91.0%
91.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
1199119111191012
H2H Denys Kovtanyuk 4–8 Kamil Kowalewski Denys Kovtanyuk has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:11What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (80%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovtanyuk 1395 vs Kowalewski 1622
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 227 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovtanyuk 20% vs Kowalewski 40%
Kowalewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovtanyuk 30% vs Kowalewski 50%
Kowalewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovtanyuk +1 · Kowalewski -3
Kowalewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Kowalewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovtanyuk 4.55 / Kowalewski 1.14
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Kowalewski)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #12289383
Kovtanyuk4.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 18 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Kowalewski1.14
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 69 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it68% 45 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovtanyuk3wins
AwayKowalewski7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKowalewski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovtanyuk25%1 of 4
AwayKowalewski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovtanyuk4Kowalewski6n = 10Kowalewski took 6 of 10
S2Kovtanyuk2Kowalewski8n = 10Kowalewski took 8 of 10
S3Kovtanyuk4Kowalewski6n = 10Kowalewski took 6 of 10
S4Kovtanyuk3Kowalewski3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovtanyukKowalewskiKovtanyuk − KowalewskiBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.137.2−5.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovtanyukKowalewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 234 vs 102 / 17029.5%60%69 / 234 vs 102 / 170Avg sets wonper match1.52.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKovtanyuk 4.55/Kowalewski 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 20:30D. Kovtanyuk—118981K. Kowalewski—71111113
WJul 18 · 16:35D. Kovtanyuk—91211113K. Kowalewski—1110881
LJul 15 · 15:00D. Kovtanyuk—127111162K. Kowalewski—1011139113
LJun 27 · 11:35D. Kovtanyuk—7720K. Kowalewski—1111113
LJun 26 · 19:30D. Kovtanyuk—5960K. Kowalewski—1111113
LMar 24 · 23:10D. Kovtanyuk—6550K. Kowalewski—1111113
WMar 24 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk—1111113K. Kowalewski—8360
LFeb 12 · 20:30D. Kovtanyuk—119951K. Kowalewski—81111113
LFeb 11 · 21:00D. Kovtanyuk—561151K. Kowalewski—11118113
WFeb 10 · 20:30D. Kovtanyuk—791111113K. Kowalewski—11117862
D. Kovtanyuk10
LJul 24 · 21:30K. Kowalewski—1111113D. Kovtanyuk—6660LJul 24 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.11111011113D. Kovtanyuk5.05912981LJul 24 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk3.25861161K. Guzy1.2611118113LJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.5051111622P. Kos1.43114911113WJul 23 · 21:40D. Kovtanyuk6.2011811173K. Kowalewski1.078119151LJul 23 · 20:00K. Guzy1.121111113D. Kovtanyuk4.909990WJul 23 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk1.8651111113P. Kos1.78116851WJul 23 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.49751311113B. Gola1.43111111582LJul 23 · 14:30D. Kovtanyuk4.15741151A. Veliiev1.1711118113
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113WJul 24 · 21:30K. Kowalewski—1111113D. Kovtanyuk—6660WJul 24 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.11111011113D. Kovtanyuk5.05912981LJul 23 · 21:40D. Kovtanyuk6.2011811173K. Kowalewski1.078119151
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.