TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12282375
Played Jul 23Finished
Vladimir Havlicek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
41112103111181012
Milan Kolar
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:23 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeMilan Kolar to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Havlicek above · Milan Kolar below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 92 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Milan Kolar at 64.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Havlicek 10–9 Milan Kolar Milan Kolar has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kolar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havlicek 1440 vs Kolar 1660
Kolar
Correct
both rated, 219 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havlicek 20% vs Kolar 100%
Kolar
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havlicek 20% vs Kolar 80%
Kolar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havlicek -1 · Kolar +5
Kolar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kolar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavlicek 2.20 / Kolar 1.61
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kolar)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12282375
Havlicek2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 34 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Kolar1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 130 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it86% 63 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it74% 101 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavlicek5wins
AwayKolar5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavlicek66.7%2 of 3
AwayKolar57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havlicek3Kolar7n = 10Kolar took 7 of 10
S2Havlicek3Kolar7n = 10Kolar took 7 of 10
S3Havlicek5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S4Havlicek3Kolar4n = 7Kolar took 4 of 7
S5Havlicek4Kolar0n = 4Havlicek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavlicekKolarH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.240.3−2.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavlicekKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 482 vs 410 / 81644.8%50.3%216 / 482 vs 410 / 816Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolarHavlicek 2.20/Kolar 1.61
Hit
What we said
64.7%
Kolar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 20 · 08:30V. Havlicek—811681M. Kolar—11611113
WJul 14 · 08:58V. Havlicek—117117113M. Kolar—31191172
LJul 14 · 08:30V. Havlicek—6920M. Kolar—1111113
WJun 23 · 06:00V. Havlicek—561111113M. Kolar—11118982
LJun 18 · 11:30V. Havlicek—1112451M. Kolar—91411113
LMay 6 · 12:59V. Havlicek—5101881M. Kolar—111216113
WMay 6 · 12:30V. Havlicek—1111113M. Kolar—4770
WApr 14 · 06:00V. Havlicek—13141111113M. Kolar—15165972
LMar 20 · 09:00V. Havlicek—71080M. Kolar—1112113
WFeb 25 · 09:30V. Havlicek—911811113M. Kolar—11811862
V. Havlicek10
WJul 31 · 09:28V. Havlicek1.61134116113M. Trinta2.20111181162WJul 31 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.5731112113M. Trinta2.251161071WJul 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.501011851V. Havlicek1.5012811113WJul 31 · 06:00V. Havlicek1.401111611113D. Barton2.7551311872WJul 23 · 09:03V. Havlicek1.611111113D. Barton2.209770WJul 23 · 07:00V. Havlicek1.5312411113D. Barton2.381011871LJul 23 · 06:00K. Darin1.6711139123V. Havlicek2.1071111101WJul 21 · 08:58K. Darin1.671111491V. Havlicek2.1051311113LJul 21 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.8011119572F. Jungman1.91381111113LJul 21 · 07:30J. Plachy1.611112113V. Havlicek2.2071050
M. Kolar10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431LSep 3 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0015104111J. Prokupek1.73131211133
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