TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12282388
Played Jul 23Finished
Vladimir Havlicek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210411118117––
David Barton
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:22 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVladimir Havlicek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Havlicek above · David Barton below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vladimir Havlicek at 57.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Havlicek 3–0 David Barton David Barton has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Havlicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Havlicek
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havlicek 1459 vs Barton 1387
Havlicek
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havlicek 20% vs Barton 0%
Havlicek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havlicek 20% vs Barton 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Havlicek -1 · Barton -5
Barton
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Havlicek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavlicek 1.53 / Barton 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Havlicek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12282388
Havlicek1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 53 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Barton2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 15 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHavlicek3wins
AwayBarton0wins
Havlicek leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havlicek2Barton1n = 3Havlicek took 2 of 3
S2Havlicek2Barton1n = 3Havlicek took 2 of 3
S3Havlicek3Barton0n = 3Havlicek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHavlicekBartonH − BBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.032.3+5.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavlicekBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 476 vs 122 / 23245.2%52.6%215 / 476 vs 122 / 232Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavlicekHavlicek 1.53/Barton 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Havlicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Havlicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 23 · 09:03V. Havlicek—1111113D. Barton—9770
WJul 23 · 07:00V. Havlicek—12411113D. Barton—1011871
WApr 2 · 10:00V. Havlicek—91111123D. Barton—1198101
V. Havlicek10
WJul 31 · 09:28V. Havlicek1.61134116113M. Trinta2.20111181162WJul 31 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.5731112113M. Trinta2.251161071WJul 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.501011851V. Havlicek1.5012811113WJul 31 · 06:00V. Havlicek1.401111611113D. Barton2.7551311872WJul 23 · 09:03V. Havlicek1.611111113D. Barton2.209770LJul 23 · 08:30V. Havlicek2.20412311102M. Kolar1.611110118123LJul 23 · 06:00K. Darin1.6711139123V. Havlicek2.1071111101WJul 21 · 08:58K. Darin1.671111491V. Havlicek2.1051311113LJul 21 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.8011119572F. Jungman1.91381111113LJul 21 · 07:30J. Plachy1.611112113V. Havlicek2.2071050
D. Barton10
LAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102LAug 20 · 02:00D. Barton1.611311119102T. Regner2.20155811123WAug 20 · 01:00D. Barton1.611111123V. Dolezal2.2098100LAug 20 · 24:00J. Didi1.831411113D. Barton1.8312780WAug 19 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.5013880D. Barton2.501511113LAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LJul 31 · 06:00V. Havlicek1.401111611113D. Barton2.7551311872LJul 23 · 09:03V. Havlicek1.611111113D. Barton2.209770
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