TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12280607
Played Jul 23Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11713119111210––
Vladimir Havlicek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Vladimir Havlicek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 84 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 63.1%
84 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 24–18 Vladimir Havlicek Vladimir Havlicek has won 18 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:57What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-18 in 42
Darin
Correct
gap of 6 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1553 vs Havlicek 1459
Darin
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 80% vs Havlicek 20%
Darin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 50% vs Havlicek 20%
Darin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +3 · Havlicek +1
Darin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havlicek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.67 / Havlicek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Darin)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12280607
Darin1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 148 of 254
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it75% 102 of 136
Havlicek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 34 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin4wins
AwayHavlicek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHavlicek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin50%2 of 4
AwayHavlicek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin4Havlicek6n = 10Havlicek took 6 of 10
S2Darin4Havlicek6n = 10Havlicek took 6 of 10
S3Darin4Havlicek6n = 10Havlicek took 6 of 10
S4Darin4Havlicek4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinHavlicekD − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.639.6−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinHavlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime751 / 1521 vs 215 / 47649.4%45.2%751 / 1521 vs 215 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.67/Havlicek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 06:00K. Darin—11139123V. Havlicek—71111101
LJul 21 · 08:58K. Darin—1111491V. Havlicek—51311113
WJul 21 · 06:00K. Darin—161111113V. Havlicek—1413921
LJun 30 · 09:30K. Darin—11117882V. Havlicek—851111113
LJun 30 · 08:30K. Darin—75100V. Havlicek—1111123
LJun 26 · 13:00K. Darin—6790V. Havlicek—1111113
LJun 26 · 11:30K. Darin—7101161V. Havlicek—11127113
WJun 12 · 06:30K. Darin—1251111113V. Havlicek—14119782
WJun 11 · 09:00K. Darin—91111113V. Havlicek—117881
LJun 11 · 06:00K. Darin—311991V. Havlicek—11911113
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123
V. Havlicek10
WJul 31 · 09:28V. Havlicek1.61134116113M. Trinta2.20111181162WJul 31 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.5731112113M. Trinta2.251161071WJul 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.501011851V. Havlicek1.5012811113WJul 31 · 06:00V. Havlicek1.401111611113D. Barton2.7551311872WJul 23 · 09:03V. Havlicek1.611111113D. Barton2.209770LJul 23 · 08:30V. Havlicek2.20412311102M. Kolar1.611110118123WJul 23 · 07:00V. Havlicek1.5312411113D. Barton2.381011871WJul 21 · 08:58K. Darin1.671111491V. Havlicek2.1051311113LJul 21 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.8011119572F. Jungman1.91381111113LJul 21 · 07:30J. Plachy1.611112113V. Havlicek2.2071050
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