TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12271585
Played Jul 21Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210115––––
Vladimir Havlicek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Vladimir Havlicek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 56 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 56.2%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 7–3 Vladimir Havlicek Vladimir Havlicek has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Plachy
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1456 vs Havlicek 1438
Plachy
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 20% vs Havlicek 0%
Plachy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 30% vs Havlicek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -1 · Havlicek -5
Havlicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havlicek form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.61 / Havlicek 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Plachy)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12271585
Plachy1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 130 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 120
Havlicek2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 34 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy7wins
AwayHavlicek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy87.5%7 of 8
AwayHavlicekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy8Havlicek2n = 10Plachy took 8 of 10
S2Plachy7Havlicek3n = 10Plachy took 7 of 10
S3Plachy4Havlicek5n = 10Havlicek took 5 of 10
S4Plachy2Havlicek3n = 5Havlicek took 3 of 5
S5Plachy2Havlicek1n = 3Plachy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyHavlicekP − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.934.0+2.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyHavlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime716 / 1554 vs 215 / 48046.1%44.8%716 / 1554 vs 215 / 480Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.61/Havlicek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 21 · 07:30J. Plachy—1112113V. Havlicek—71050
WJun 23 · 07:00J. Plachy—1111113V. Havlicek—6760
LJan 15 · 14:00J. Plachy—61080V. Havlicek—1112113
WJan 15 · 12:00J. Plachy—116511113V. Havlicek—81111742
WJan 14 · 09:30J. Plachy—12125113V. Havlicek—10101171
WDec 18 · 14:00J. Plachy—1111113V. Havlicek—9590
WDec 18 · 13:30J. Plachy—111158113V. Havlicek—55111192
WDec 5 · 13:30J. Plachy—1113122V. Havlicek—511120
LSep 5 · 10:30J. Plachy—111212772V. Havlicek—9101411113
LJun 4 · 10:30J. Plachy—591151V. Havlicek—11116113
J. Plachy10
WSep 7 · 10:30J. Trefny1.67571151J. Plachy2.1011119113LSep 7 · 09:00J. Trefny1.73117912143J. Plachy2.008111110122LSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780
V. Havlicek10
WJul 31 · 09:28V. Havlicek1.61134116113M. Trinta2.20111181162WJul 31 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.5731112113M. Trinta2.251161071WJul 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.501011851V. Havlicek1.5012811113WJul 31 · 06:00V. Havlicek1.401111611113D. Barton2.7551311872WJul 23 · 09:03V. Havlicek1.611111113D. Barton2.209770LJul 23 · 08:30V. Havlicek2.20412311102M. Kolar1.611110118123WJul 23 · 07:00V. Havlicek1.5312411113D. Barton2.381011871LJul 23 · 06:00K. Darin1.6711139123V. Havlicek2.1071111101WJul 21 · 08:58K. Darin1.671111491V. Havlicek2.1051311113LJul 21 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.8011119572F. Jungman1.91381111113
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