TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12331944
Played Jul 31Finished
Vladimir Havlicek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
3111161210117––
Mihail Trinta
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:10 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeVladimir Havlicek to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Havlicek above · Mihail Trinta below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vladimir Havlicek at 57.4%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Havlicek 8–3 Mihail Trinta Mihail Trinta has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Havlicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Havlicek
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havlicek 1504 vs Trinta 1555
Trinta
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havlicek 80% vs Trinta 100%
Trinta
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havlicek 50% vs Trinta 80%
Trinta
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havlicek +3 · Trinta +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Havlicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trinta form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavlicek 1.57 / Trinta 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Havlicek)-1.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12331944
Havlicek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 57 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it78% 39 of 50
Trinta2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 83 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavlicek8wins
AwayTrinta2wins
7 of 10 to a deciderHavlicek leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavlicek85.7%6 of 7
AwayTrinta33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havlicek7Trinta3n = 10Havlicek took 7 of 10
S2Havlicek4Trinta6n = 10Trinta took 6 of 10
S3Havlicek7Trinta3n = 10Havlicek took 7 of 10
S4Havlicek5Trinta4n = 9Havlicek took 5 of 9
S5Havlicek5Trinta2n = 7Havlicek took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavlicekTrintaH − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.640.5+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavlicekTrintaBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 472 vs 519 / 104245.6%49.8%215 / 472 vs 519 / 1042Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavlicekHavlicek 1.57/Trinta 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Havlicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Havlicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 09:28V. Havlicek—134116113M. Trinta—111181162
WJul 31 · 08:00V. Havlicek—31112113M. Trinta—1161071
WMar 10 · 09:30V. Havlicek—11119113M. Trinta—951121
LMar 5 · 11:00V. Havlicek—11931282M. Trinta—7111110113
WNov 24 · 09:00V. Havlicek—138711113M. Trinta—111111792
WOct 13 · 08:30V. Havlicek—11101110113M. Trinta—91291282
WOct 10 · 09:30V. Havlicek—116117113M. Trinta—51151162
WOct 10 · 07:30V. Havlicek—7111111113M. Trinta—11137742
WJul 3 · 12:30V. Havlicek—1114113M. Trinta—31270
LFeb 11 · 11:00V. Havlicek—71111862M. Trinta—115811113
V. Havlicek10
WJul 31 · 09:28V. Havlicek1.61134116113M. Trinta2.20111181162WJul 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.501011851V. Havlicek1.5012811113WJul 31 · 06:00V. Havlicek1.401111611113D. Barton2.7551311872WJul 23 · 09:03V. Havlicek1.611111113D. Barton2.209770LJul 23 · 08:30V. Havlicek2.20412311102M. Kolar1.611110118123WJul 23 · 07:00V. Havlicek1.5312411113D. Barton2.381011871LJul 23 · 06:00K. Darin1.6711139123V. Havlicek2.1071111101WJul 21 · 08:58K. Darin1.671111491V. Havlicek2.1051311113LJul 21 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.8011119572F. Jungman1.91381111113LJul 21 · 07:30J. Plachy1.611112113V. Havlicek2.2071050
M. Trinta10
WAug 16 · 12:59M. Trinta1.911111103F. Jungman1.809980LAug 16 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0051111762T. Kolenic1.73119911113LAug 16 · 11:00M. Trinta2.00913961D. Oborny1.73111111113WAug 16 · 10:00F. Jungman1.44511118112M. Trinta2.63119611133LAug 15 · 21:30A. Svoboda1.4411711123M. Trinta2.639112101WAug 15 · 20:30M. Trinta2.509101113113D. Horak1.50111261182WAug 15 · 19:00M. Trinta1.80911611113F. Briza1.9111911892LAug 15 · 18:00A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Trinta2.387460LAug 14 · 13:00A. Svoboda1.3311115113M. Trinta3.05461171LJul 31 · 09:28V. Havlicek1.61134116113M. Trinta2.20111181162
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