TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12275947
Played Jul 21Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1151113411911––
Vladimir Havlicek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Vladimir Havlicek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 23–17 Vladimir Havlicek Vladimir Havlicek has won 17 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Darin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havlicek form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.67 / Havlicek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Darin)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12275947
Darin1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 142 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it95% 71 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it74% 98 of 132
Havlicek2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 33 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin5wins
AwayHavlicek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarinn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHavlicek50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin2Havlicek8n = 10Havlicek took 8 of 10
S2Darin5Havlicek5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin6Havlicek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S4Darin5Havlicek3n = 8Darin took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinHavlicekD − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.837.9−0.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinHavlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime748 / 1516 vs 214 / 48049.3%44.6%748 / 1516 vs 214 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.67/Havlicek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Havlicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 21 · 06:00K. Darin—161111113V. Havlicek—1413921
LJun 30 · 09:30K. Darin—11117882V. Havlicek—851111113
LJun 30 · 08:30K. Darin—75100V. Havlicek—1111123
LJun 26 · 13:00K. Darin—6790V. Havlicek—1111113
LJun 26 · 11:30K. Darin—7101161V. Havlicek—11127113
WJun 12 · 06:30K. Darin—1251111113V. Havlicek—14119782
WJun 11 · 09:00K. Darin—91111113V. Havlicek—117881
LJun 11 · 06:00K. Darin—311991V. Havlicek—11911113
WJun 8 · 08:30K. Darin—91111113V. Havlicek—118781
WJun 4 · 10:00K. Darin—71111113V. Havlicek—115391
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123
V. Havlicek10
WJul 31 · 09:28V. Havlicek1.61134116113M. Trinta2.20111181162WJul 31 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.5731112113M. Trinta2.251161071WJul 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.501011851V. Havlicek1.5012811113WJul 31 · 06:00V. Havlicek1.401111611113D. Barton2.7551311872WJul 23 · 09:03V. Havlicek1.611111113D. Barton2.209770LJul 23 · 08:30V. Havlicek2.20412311102M. Kolar1.611110118123WJul 23 · 07:00V. Havlicek1.5312411113D. Barton2.381011871LJul 23 · 06:00K. Darin1.6711139123V. Havlicek2.1071111101LJul 21 · 08:00V. Havlicek1.8011119572F. Jungman1.91381111113LJul 21 · 07:30J. Plachy1.611112113V. Havlicek2.2071050
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