TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12217768
Played Jul 13Finished
Alex Moreno
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115121411813151210
Luis Carrillo
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
How it is goingAlex Moreno above · Luis Carrillo below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 111 set 5, 12-10
111 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Carrillo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Carrillo form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoreno 2.20 / Carrillo 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Carrillo)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12217768
Moreno2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Carrillo1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorenoCarrilloBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 95 vs 4 / 1813.7%22.2%13 / 95 vs 4 / 18Avg sets wonper match0.91.1per matchAvg pointsper match28.127.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CarrilloMoreno 2.20/Carrillo 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Carrillo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moreno won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Moreno10
LAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113WAug 25 · 06:30A. Moreno1.611111113J. Willeke2.208940LAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113LAug 24 · 12:30A. Moreno6.00811961M. Henninger1.1111611113LAug 24 · 11:00A. Moreno7.507760V. Yefimov1.071111113WAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 07:00A. Moreno—861161E. Huzsvar—11115113LAug 21 · 08:15S. Almeida1.401111113A. Moreno2.767590LAug 20 · 16:30E. Huzsvar—11115113A. Moreno—581171LAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113
L. Carrillo10
LJul 14 · 07:00M. Stefanidis1.98811511113L. Carrillo1.7311611642LJul 13 · 14:30A. Itagaki1.53119119113L. Carrillo2.3861131192LJul 13 · 13:00O. Kosolosky1.111111113L. Carrillo6.006760LJul 13 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.021111113L. Carrillo11.001200LJul 13 · 10:00C. Rossi1.1011911113L. Carrillo6.50911561LJul 13 · 06:30V. Yefimov1.201111113L. Carrillo4.336460LJun 26 · 06:30J. Shim1.251111113L. Carrillo3.755230LJun 25 · 16:30M. Nogami2.381114113L. Carrillo1.5361260LJun 25 · 15:00I. Bertrand1.051111113L. Carrillo8.505560LJun 25 · 13:30L. Carrillo9.0031190K. Fadeev1.041113113
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