TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12216707
Played Jul 13Finished
Viktor Yefimov
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114116––––
Luis Carrillo
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingViktor Yefimov above · Luis Carrillo below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6
49 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Yefimov 1–0 Luis Carrillo Luis Carrillo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Yefimov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yefimov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYefimov 1.20 / Carrillo 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Yefimov)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12216707
Yefimov1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Carrillo4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeYefimov1wins
AwayCarrillo0wins
Yefimov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricYefimovCarrilloY − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.016.0+17.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYefimovCarrilloBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 80 vs 4 / 2083.8%20%67 / 80 vs 4 / 20Avg sets wonper match2.61.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.428.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YefimovYefimov 1.20/Carrillo 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Yefimov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Yefimov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 13 · 06:30V. Yefimov—1111113L. Carrillo—6460
V. Yefimov10
WAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:15V. Yefimov1.101111113M. Henninger6.506780WAug 25 · 07:00E. Huzsvar—8980V. Yefimov—1111113WAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 14:30M. Henninger4.5011780V. Yefimov1.171311113WAug 24 · 13:00M. Kupfer4.509370V. Yefimov1.171111113WAug 24 · 11:00A. Moreno7.507760V. Yefimov1.071111113WAug 24 · 10:00J. Willeke4.506650V. Yefimov1.171111113WAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113LJul 14 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.16715411113V. Yefimov4.45111311892
L. Carrillo10
LJul 14 · 07:00M. Stefanidis1.98811511113L. Carrillo1.7311611642LJul 13 · 17:30A. Moreno2.2011121113123L. Carrillo1.61514815102LJul 13 · 14:30A. Itagaki1.53119119113L. Carrillo2.3861131192LJul 13 · 13:00O. Kosolosky1.111111113L. Carrillo6.006760LJul 13 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.021111113L. Carrillo11.001200LJul 13 · 10:00C. Rossi1.1011911113L. Carrillo6.50911561LJun 26 · 06:30J. Shim1.251111113L. Carrillo3.755230LJun 25 · 16:30M. Nogami2.381114113L. Carrillo1.5361260LJun 25 · 15:00I. Bertrand1.051111113L. Carrillo8.505560LJun 25 · 13:30L. Carrillo9.0031190K. Fadeev1.041113113
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