TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12089278
Played Jun 25Finished
Makoto Nogami
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161412116––––
Luis Carrillo
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–5Last 9Won last 3
How it is goingMakoto Nogami above · Luis Carrillo below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 60 set 3, 11-6
60 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Carrillo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nogami form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNogami 2.38 / Carrillo 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Carrillo)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12089278
Nogami2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
Carrillo1.53
44%won 4 of 9 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNogamiCarrilloBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 70 vs 4 / 1025.7%40%18 / 70 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match32.932.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CarrilloNogami 2.38/Carrillo 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Carrillo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nogami won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Nogami10
LAug 4 · 10:50K. Zimmermann1.0571111113M. Nogami8.50116931LAug 4 · 10:30K. Zimmermann—71111113M. Nogami—116931LAug 4 · 09:44M. Nogami1.83115111172M. Neumaier1.83711813113WAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771WAug 3 · 16:30M. Nogami1.61111111113L. Kraus2.20613991WAug 3 · 14:30M. Nogami1.831011811113M. Neumaier1.8312411992WAug 3 · 12:30J. Willeke3.256580M. Nogami1.331111113LAug 3 · 10:30K. Zimmermann1.6711119113M. Nogami2.10841121WAug 3 · 09:00M. Nogami1.131111123L. Hubner5.5033100LAug 3 · 07:30M. Nogami5.5076111272A. Mino1.131111910113
L. Carrillo10
LJul 14 · 07:00M. Stefanidis1.98811511113L. Carrillo1.7311611642LJul 13 · 17:30A. Moreno2.2011121113123L. Carrillo1.61514815102LJul 13 · 14:30A. Itagaki1.53119119113L. Carrillo2.3861131192LJul 13 · 13:00O. Kosolosky1.111111113L. Carrillo6.006760LJul 13 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.021111113L. Carrillo11.001200LJul 13 · 10:00C. Rossi1.1011911113L. Carrillo6.50911561LJul 13 · 06:30V. Yefimov1.201111113L. Carrillo4.336460LJun 26 · 06:30J. Shim1.251111113L. Carrillo3.755230LJun 25 · 15:00I. Bertrand1.051111113L. Carrillo8.505560LJun 25 · 13:30L. Carrillo9.0031190K. Fadeev1.041113113
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