TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12217741
Played Jul 14Finished
Marco Stefanidis
Home
1.98
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811116511116114
Luis Carrillo
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
811116511116114
H2H Marco Stefanidis 1–1 Luis Carrillo Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Carrillo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Carrillo form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefanidis 1.98 / Carrillo 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Carrillo)+0.6pp
Challenger Series TT · #12217741
Stefanidis1.98
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Carrillo1.73
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStefanidis1wins
AwayCarrillo1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStefanidisCarrilloS − CBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match48.545.5+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefanidisCarrilloBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 158 vs 4 / 2036.7%20%58 / 158 vs 4 / 20Avg sets wonper match1.61.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.328.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CarrilloStefanidis 1.98/Carrillo 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Carrillo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stefanidis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 14 · 07:00M. Stefanidis—811511113L. Carrillo—11611642
LJun 25 · 08:00M. Stefanidis—1111105142L. Carrillo—591211163
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 10:30M. Stefanidis4.70119961M. Henninger1.1461111113LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161LAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171WAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113LAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850
L. Carrillo10
LJul 13 · 17:30A. Moreno2.2011121113123L. Carrillo1.61514815102LJul 13 · 14:30A. Itagaki1.53119119113L. Carrillo2.3861131192LJul 13 · 13:00O. Kosolosky1.111111113L. Carrillo6.006760LJul 13 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.021111113L. Carrillo11.001200LJul 13 · 10:00C. Rossi1.1011911113L. Carrillo6.50911561LJul 13 · 06:30V. Yefimov1.201111113L. Carrillo4.336460LJun 26 · 06:30J. Shim1.251111113L. Carrillo3.755230LJun 25 · 16:30M. Nogami2.381114113L. Carrillo1.5361260LJun 25 · 15:00I. Bertrand1.051111113L. Carrillo8.505560LJun 25 · 13:30L. Carrillo9.0031190K. Fadeev1.041113113
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