TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12091610
Played Jun 26Finished
Joon Shim
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115112113––––
Luis Carrillo
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJoon Shim above · Luis Carrillo below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 43 set 3, 11-3
43 points played in total.
H2H Joon Shim 1–0 Luis Carrillo Luis Carrillo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Shim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Carrillo form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShim 1.25 / Carrillo 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Shim)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12091610
Shim1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Carrillo3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeShim1wins
AwayCarrillo0wins
Shim leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricShimCarrilloS − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.010.0+23.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShimCarrilloBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 94 vs 4 / 1357.5%30.8%54 / 94 vs 4 / 13Avg sets wonper match2.01.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.829.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShimShim 1.25/Carrillo 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Shim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 26 · 06:30J. Shim—1111113L. Carrillo—5230
J. Shim10
LJul 21 · 21:10J. Shim—111150B. Haug—1313113WJul 21 · 14:00G. Slezynger—8570J. Shim—1111113LJun 30 · 10:40J. Shim2.008990D. Rinderer1.701111113LJun 30 · 09:13J. Shim1.838790K. Fadeev1.831111113WJun 30 · 07:30L. Kraus4.505650J. Shim1.171111113WJun 29 · 17:30J. Shim1.5021211113A. Itagaki2.501110991WJun 29 · 16:00O. Kosolosky1.536480J. Shim2.381111113LJun 29 · 14:00D. Rinderer1.671111123J. Shim2.1096100WJun 29 · 12:00J. Shim2.101111153K. Fadeev1.6778130WJun 29 · 09:30J. Shim1.40119118113S. Carrillo2.7561181142
L. Carrillo10
LJul 14 · 07:00M. Stefanidis1.98811511113L. Carrillo1.7311611642LJul 13 · 17:30A. Moreno2.2011121113123L. Carrillo1.61514815102LJul 13 · 14:30A. Itagaki1.53119119113L. Carrillo2.3861131192LJul 13 · 13:00O. Kosolosky1.111111113L. Carrillo6.006760LJul 13 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.021111113L. Carrillo11.001200LJul 13 · 10:00C. Rossi1.1011911113L. Carrillo6.50911561LJul 13 · 06:30V. Yefimov1.201111113L. Carrillo4.336460LJun 25 · 16:30M. Nogami2.381114113L. Carrillo1.5361260LJun 25 · 15:00I. Bertrand1.051111113L. Carrillo8.505560LJun 25 · 13:30L. Carrillo9.0031190K. Fadeev1.041113113
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