TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12125613
Played Jun 30Finished
Joon Shim
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711911––––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJoon Shim above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Joon Shim 2–2 Kirill Fadeev Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shim form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShim 1.83 / Fadeev 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fadeev)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12125613
Shim1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Fadeev1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeShim2wins
AwayFadeev2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shim2Fadeev2n = 4split evenly
S2Shim2Fadeev2n = 4split evenly
S3Shim1Fadeev3n = 4Fadeev took 3 of 4
S4Shim2Fadeev2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricShimFadeevS − FBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.838.0+1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShimFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 100 vs 155 / 21359%72.8%59 / 100 vs 155 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevShim 1.83/Fadeev 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fadeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 25 · 07:00J. Shim—11112113K. Fadeev—851191
LMar 23 · 15:30J. Shim—1169131K. Fadeev—71111153
WSep 15 · 17:00J. Shim—8101111113K. Fadeev—11122452
LApr 21 · 17:30J. Shim—711791K. Fadeev—11811113
J. Shim10
LJul 21 · 21:10J. Shim—111150B. Haug—1313113WJul 21 · 14:00G. Slezynger—8570J. Shim—1111113LJun 30 · 10:40J. Shim2.008990D. Rinderer1.701111113WJun 30 · 07:30L. Kraus4.505650J. Shim1.171111113WJun 29 · 17:30J. Shim1.5021211113A. Itagaki2.501110991WJun 29 · 16:00O. Kosolosky1.536480J. Shim2.381111113LJun 29 · 14:00D. Rinderer1.671111123J. Shim2.1096100WJun 29 · 12:00J. Shim2.101111153K. Fadeev1.6778130WJun 29 · 09:30J. Shim1.40119118113S. Carrillo2.7561181142WJun 29 · 08:00J. Shim1.301111113L. Dreykorn3.406260
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LJun 29 · 12:00J. Shim2.101111153K. Fadeev1.6778130
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