TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12119844
Played Jun 29Finished
Joon Shim
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116911118811114
Sergio Carrillo
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–5Last 9Won last 1
How it is goingJoon Shim above · Sergio Carrillo below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 90 set 5, 11-4
90 points played in total.
H2H Joon Shim 1–0 Sergio Carrillo Sergio Carrillo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Shim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Carrillo form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShim 1.40 / Carrillo 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Shim)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12119844
Shim1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Carrillo2.75
44%won 4 of 9 · last 10
oldest → newest
38%takes the first set · 3 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeShim1wins
AwayCarrillo0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderShim leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricShimCarrilloS − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.040.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShimCarrilloBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 100 vs 2 / 659%33.3%59 / 100 vs 2 / 6Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.827.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShimShim 1.40/Carrillo 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Shim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 29 · 09:30J. Shim—119118113S. Carrillo—61181142
J. Shim10
LJul 21 · 21:10J. Shim—111150B. Haug—1313113WJul 21 · 14:00G. Slezynger—8570J. Shim—1111113LJun 30 · 10:40J. Shim2.008990D. Rinderer1.701111113LJun 30 · 09:13J. Shim1.838790K. Fadeev1.831111113WJun 30 · 07:30L. Kraus4.505650J. Shim1.171111113WJun 29 · 17:30J. Shim1.5021211113A. Itagaki2.501110991WJun 29 · 16:00O. Kosolosky1.536480J. Shim2.381111113LJun 29 · 14:00D. Rinderer1.671111123J. Shim2.1096100WJun 29 · 12:00J. Shim2.101111153K. Fadeev1.6778130WJun 29 · 08:00J. Shim1.301111113L. Dreykorn3.406260
S. Carrillo10
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113WJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:00S. Carrillo2.2071112113S. Happek1.611171091LJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 10:30S. Carrillo7.0091780D. Rinderer1.081119113LJul 6 · 08:30S. Carrillo2.63811691L. Kraus1.4411811113LJul 6 · 06:30S. Carrillo1.521131281T. Saltzer2.30131110113LJun 30 · 08:30O. Kosolosky1.081111113S. Carrillo7.006240LJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130LJun 29 · 15:30S. Carrillo8.0010530K. Fadeev1.061211113
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