TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12119905
Played Jun 29Finished
Joon Shim
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
2111210119119––
Akito Itagaki
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJoon Shim above · Akito Itagaki below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9
75 points played in total.
H2H Joon Shim 1–1 Akito Itagaki Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Shim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Itagaki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShim 1.50 / Itagaki 2.50
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Shim)+7.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12119905
Shim1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Itagaki2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeShim1wins
AwayItagaki1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricShimItagakiS − IBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.541.5−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShimItagakiBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 100 vs 49 / 9459%52.1%59 / 100 vs 49 / 94Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShimShim 1.50/Itagaki 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Shim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 29 · 17:30J. Shim—21211113A. Itagaki—1110991
LJun 25 · 11:00J. Shim—11114362A. Itagaki—741111113
J. Shim10
LJul 21 · 21:10J. Shim—111150B. Haug—1313113WJul 21 · 14:00G. Slezynger—8570J. Shim—1111113LJun 30 · 10:40J. Shim2.008990D. Rinderer1.701111113LJun 30 · 09:13J. Shim1.838790K. Fadeev1.831111113WJun 30 · 07:30L. Kraus4.505650J. Shim1.171111113WJun 29 · 16:00O. Kosolosky1.536480J. Shim2.381111113LJun 29 · 14:00D. Rinderer1.671111123J. Shim2.1096100WJun 29 · 12:00J. Shim2.101111153K. Fadeev1.6778130WJun 29 · 09:30J. Shim1.40119118113S. Carrillo2.7561181142WJun 29 · 08:00J. Shim1.301111113L. Dreykorn3.406260
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153
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