TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12089283
Played Jun 25Finished
Luis Carrillo
Home
9.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–5Last 9Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111113911––––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.04
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingLuis Carrillo above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11
58 points played in total.
H2H Luis Carrillo 0–1 Kirill Fadeev Luis Carrillo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (80%) is below what odds imply (96%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCarrillo 9.00 / Fadeev 1.04
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Fadeev)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12089283
Carrillo9.00
44%won 4 of 9 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
Fadeev1.04
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCarrillo0wins
AwayFadeev1wins
Fadeev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCarrilloFadeevC − FBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.042.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCarrilloFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 8 vs 146 / 20137.5%72.6%3 / 8 vs 146 / 201Avg sets wonper match1.62.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevCarrillo 9.00/Fadeev 1.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.6%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fadeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 15 · 06:30L. Carrillo—911961K. Fadeev—11911113
L. Carrillo10
LJul 14 · 07:00M. Stefanidis1.98811511113L. Carrillo1.7311611642LJul 13 · 17:30A. Moreno2.2011121113123L. Carrillo1.61514815102LJul 13 · 14:30A. Itagaki1.53119119113L. Carrillo2.3861131192LJul 13 · 13:00O. Kosolosky1.111111113L. Carrillo6.006760LJul 13 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.021111113L. Carrillo11.001200LJul 13 · 10:00C. Rossi1.1011911113L. Carrillo6.50911561LJul 13 · 06:30V. Yefimov1.201111113L. Carrillo4.336460LJun 26 · 06:30J. Shim1.251111113L. Carrillo3.755230LJun 25 · 16:30M. Nogami2.381114113L. Carrillo1.5361260LJun 25 · 15:00I. Bertrand1.051111113L. Carrillo8.505560
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.361111113V. Senkbeil3.008490WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123
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