TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yuriy Shcherbak vs Ruslan Skoropad 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jul 7Finished
Yuriy Shcherbak
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811117119115––
Ruslan Skoropad
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingYuriy Shcherbak above · Ruslan Skoropad below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5
73 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Shcherbak 7–6 Ruslan Skoropad Ruslan Skoropad has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 1.67 / Skoropad 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Shcherbak)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12176832
Shcherbak1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite79% won 69 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Skoropad2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 4 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShcherbak6wins
AwaySkoropad4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderShcherbak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShcherbak80%4 of 5
AwaySkoropad60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shcherbak5Skoropad5n = 10split evenly
S2Shcherbak8Skoropad2n = 10Shcherbak took 8 of 10
S3Shcherbak3Skoropad7n = 10Skoropad took 7 of 10
S4Shcherbak4Skoropad4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShcherbakSkoropadShcherbak − SkoropadBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.835.0+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakSkoropadBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 177 vs 52 / 10056.5%52%100 / 177 vs 52 / 100Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakShcherbak 1.67/Skoropad 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 7 · 07:35Y. Shcherbak4181111113R. Skoropad32117951
WMay 27 · 05:35Y. Shcherbak46111113113R. Skoropad30811561
WMay 13 · 07:55Y. Shcherbak48111196113R. Skoropad4067111152
WMay 12 · 17:25Y. Shcherbak3511111123R. Skoropad366911101
LApr 4 · 10:55Y. Shcherbak30812641R. Skoropad43111011113
LApr 2 · 05:55Y. Shcherbak33119581R. Skoropad4291111113
WApr 1 · 18:55Y. Shcherbak3941113113R. Skoropad381191171
LMar 17 · 07:05Y. Shcherbak218760R. Skoropad331111113
LMar 8 · 07:55Y. Shcherbak32411981R. Skoropad3611311113
WMar 7 · 13:54Y. Shcherbak331111113R. Skoropad208660
Y. Shcherbak10
WSep 22 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk4.00911761Y. Shcherbak1.2211811113WSep 22 · 04:25M. Senyk7.00781191Y. Shcherbak1.0811115113WSep 17 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi1.50511981Y. Shcherbak2.5011711113LSep 17 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak3.4010990O. Maslovskyi1.301211113LSep 17 · 08:25Y. Shcherbak3.251011771M. Dunas1.3312711113LSep 17 · 06:55Y. Shcherbak6.001151051A. Nikolenko1.1191112113WSep 17 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak1.6791311113B. Pyrtyk2.101111681LSep 16 · 18:25Y. Shcherbak2.20511931M. Dunas1.6111611113LSep 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.5011119113Y. Shcherbak2.50771121LSep 16 · 15:25Y. Shcherbak4.0011511962I. Fokin1.22911611113
R. Skoropad10
LSep 22 · 06:55R. Skoropad2.504740O. Martynenko1.501111113LSep 22 · 04:55R. Skoropad3.259040B. Pyrtyk1.331111113WAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192LAug 13 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk2.6311124113R. Skoropad1.440101191LAug 13 · 07:55R. Skoropad1.831111961O. Bolnyh1.8313811113LAug 13 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.441111113R. Skoropad2.634340WAug 13 · 05:25R. Skoropad1.36111111113M. Senyk3.00135371WAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123LAug 12 · 16:55R. Skoropad1.7311511432O. Bolnyh2.00911511113WAug 12 · 15:55R. Skoropad1.3011119113A. Lanchut3.40471111
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