TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11873816
Played May 14Finished
Jaime Lama
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211116511511––
Guillaume Alcayde
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJaime Lama above · Guillaume Alcayde below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 62 set 4, 5-11
62 points played in total.
H2H Jaime Lama 0–1 Guillaume Alcayde Jaime Lama has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Alcayde)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alcayde form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLama 4.33 / Alcayde 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Alcayde)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11873816
Lama4.33
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Alcayde1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLama0wins
AwayAlcayde1wins
Alcayde leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLamaAlcaydeL − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match37.043.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamaAlcaydeBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 197 vs 50 / 7738.6%64.9%76 / 197 vs 50 / 77Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlcaydeLama 4.33/Alcayde 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Alcayde · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Alcayde won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LDec 4 · 15:00J. Lama—1G. Alcayde—3
J. Lama10
WMay 22 · 08:00J. Lama1.53911111113S. Happek2.3811911462LMay 21 · 17:00J. Lama10.008590M. Danzer1.031111113LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123WMay 21 · 14:00J. Lama1.10119911113A. Moreno6.5081111682WMay 21 · 10:30J. Lama1.3391111113D. Zech3.25114791LMay 21 · 08:30J. Lama10.005131181R. Turrini1.0311156113LMay 21 · 06:30J. Lama6.0068100D. Rinderer1.111111123LMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113LMay 19 · 06:30J. Lama8.001512681K. Fadeev1.06171011113LMay 18 · 16:00J. Lama2.6391141172J. Loffler1.44116118113
G. Alcayde10
WMay 15 · 10:59M. Danzer1.6711117892G. Alcayde2.10921111113WMay 15 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.50312116113M. Scharrer2.50111081192LMay 15 · 08:30M. Danzer1.53851111113G. Alcayde2.3811119882WMay 14 · 17:00S. Happek6.00881161G. Alcayde1.1111115113WMay 14 · 15:30G. Alcayde1.111111133D. Zech6.0088110WMay 14 · 13:00G. Alcayde1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.008680LMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillion8.50513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillon6.30513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113LMay 12 · 10:35G. Alcayde4.3396111152R. Turrini1.20111196113
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