TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11873812
Played May 15Finished
Matthias Danzer
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811511119118118
Guillaume Alcayde
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMatthias Danzer above · Guillaume Alcayde below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8
93 points played in total.
H2H Matthias Danzer 1–0 Guillaume Alcayde Guillaume Alcayde has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Danzer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alcayde form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanzer 1.53 / Alcayde 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Danzer)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11873812
Danzer1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Alcayde2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDanzer1wins
AwayAlcayde0wins
Danzer leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDanzerAlcaydeD − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.040.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanzerAlcaydeBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 257 vs 54 / 8272%65.9%185 / 257 vs 54 / 82Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanzerDanzer 1.53/Alcayde 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Danzer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Danzer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJan 9 · 15:00M. Danzer—3G. Alcayde—1
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140
G. Alcayde10
WMay 15 · 10:59M. Danzer1.6711117892G. Alcayde2.10921111113WMay 15 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.50312116113M. Scharrer2.50111081192WMay 14 · 17:00S. Happek6.00881161G. Alcayde1.1111115113WMay 14 · 15:30G. Alcayde1.111111133D. Zech6.0088110WMay 14 · 13:00G. Alcayde1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.008680LMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180WMay 14 · 09:30J. Lama4.33211551G. Alcayde1.2011611113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillion8.50513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillon6.30513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113LMay 12 · 10:35G. Alcayde4.3396111152R. Turrini1.20111196113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.