TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11873813
Played May 14Finished
Sven Happek
Home
6.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811115611––
Guillaume Alcayde
Away
1.11
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingSven Happek above · Guillaume Alcayde below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Sven Happek 0–2 Guillaume Alcayde Sven Happek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Alcayde)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alcayde form (80%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHappek 6.00 / Alcayde 1.11
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Alcayde)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11873813
Happek6.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Alcayde1.11
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHappek0wins
AwayAlcayde2wins
Alcayde leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricHappekAlcaydeH − ABasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match23.034.0−11.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHappekAlcaydeBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 141 vs 53 / 8135.5%65.4%50 / 141 vs 53 / 81Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlcaydeHappek 6.00/Alcayde 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.4%
Alcayde · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Alcayde won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 1 · 09:15S. Happek—0G. Alcayde—3
LJul 31 · 14:00S. Happek—0G. Alcayde—3
S. Happek10
LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272LAug 6 · 16:00A. Mino1.0481111113S. Happek9.00115431LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113LAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113LAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113LJul 28 · 08:30S. Happek8.503570O. Kosolosky1.051111113LJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:00S. Happek—611571J. Loffler—11811113
G. Alcayde10
WMay 15 · 10:59M. Danzer1.6711117892G. Alcayde2.10921111113WMay 15 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.50312116113M. Scharrer2.50111081192LMay 15 · 08:30M. Danzer1.53851111113G. Alcayde2.3811119882WMay 14 · 15:30G. Alcayde1.111111133D. Zech6.0088110WMay 14 · 13:00G. Alcayde1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.008680LMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180WMay 14 · 09:30J. Lama4.33211551G. Alcayde1.2011611113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillion8.50513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillon6.30513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113LMay 12 · 10:35G. Alcayde4.3396111152R. Turrini1.20111196113
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