TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11873814
Played May 14Finished
Guillaume Alcayde
Home
1.11
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181181311––––
Damian Zech
Away
6.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingGuillaume Alcayde above · Damian Zech below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 62 set 3, 13-11
62 points played in total.
H2H Guillaume Alcayde 4–0 Damian Zech Damian Zech has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Alcayde)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zech form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (17%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlcayde 1.11 / Zech 6.00
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Alcayde)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11873814
Alcayde1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Zech6.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeAlcayde4wins
AwayZech0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderAlcayde leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Alcayde2Zech2n = 4split evenly
S2Alcayde3Zech1n = 4Alcayde took 3 of 4
S3Alcayde4Zech0n = 4Alcayde took 4 of 4
S4Alcayde2Zech1n = 3Alcayde took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricAlcaydeZechA − ZBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.832.5+9.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlcaydeZechBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 80 vs 60 / 26965%22.3%52 / 80 vs 60 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.21.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.131.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlcaydeAlcayde 1.11/Zech 6.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.4%
Alcayde · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Alcayde won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WApr 16 · 09:00G. Alcayde—3D. Zech—2
WDec 5 · 08:30G. Alcayde—3D. Zech—1
WAug 1 · 07:30G. Alcayde—3D. Zech—0
WJan 9 · 11:30G. Alcayde—3D. Zech—1
G. Alcayde10
WMay 15 · 10:59M. Danzer1.6711117892G. Alcayde2.10921111113WMay 15 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.50312116113M. Scharrer2.50111081192LMay 15 · 08:30M. Danzer1.53851111113G. Alcayde2.3811119882WMay 14 · 17:00S. Happek6.00881161G. Alcayde1.1111115113WMay 14 · 13:00G. Alcayde1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.008680LMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180WMay 14 · 09:30J. Lama4.33211551G. Alcayde1.2011611113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillion8.50513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillon6.30513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113LMay 12 · 10:35G. Alcayde4.3396111152R. Turrini1.20111196113
D. Zech10
LAug 20 · 16:30D. Zech8.501115681M. Danzer1.0571711113LAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113LAug 20 · 12:30S. Almeida1.661111113D. Zech2.106970LAug 20 · 10:30E. Huzsvar1.5712101111113D. Zech2.2014129382LAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113WAug 20 · 07:30D. Zech1.5791111113A. Moreno2.25116791LAug 14 · 07:30D. Zech7.501511961L. Qiu1.0717411113WAug 13 · 16:30D. Zech—51111113M. Stefanidis—114871WAug 13 · 14:30D. Zech—1111113N. Kizakisz—2340LAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271
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