TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11894048
Played May 15Finished
Guillaume Alcayde
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111210118611119
Mauro Scharrer
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingGuillaume Alcayde above · Mauro Scharrer below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9
92 points played in total.
H2H Guillaume Alcayde 0–1 Mauro Scharrer Guillaume Alcayde has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Alcayde)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alcayde form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlcayde 1.50 / Scharrer 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Alcayde)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11894048
Alcayde1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Scharrer2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAlcayde0wins
AwayScharrer1wins
Scharrer leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricAlcaydeScharrerA − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match22.035.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlcaydeScharrerBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 83 vs 33 / 5765.1%57.9%54 / 83 vs 33 / 57Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlcaydeAlcayde 1.50/Scharrer 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Alcayde · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Alcayde won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 14 · 11:30G. Alcayde—0M. Scharrer—3
G. Alcayde10
WMay 15 · 10:59M. Danzer1.6711117892G. Alcayde2.10921111113LMay 15 · 08:30M. Danzer1.53851111113G. Alcayde2.3811119882WMay 14 · 17:00S. Happek6.00881161G. Alcayde1.1111115113WMay 14 · 15:30G. Alcayde1.111111133D. Zech6.0088110WMay 14 · 13:00G. Alcayde1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.008680LMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180WMay 14 · 09:30J. Lama4.33211551G. Alcayde1.2011611113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillion8.50513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillon6.30513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113LMay 12 · 10:35G. Alcayde4.3396111152R. Turrini1.20111196113
M. Scharrer10
LAug 20 · 15:40C. Cozmolici4.3311115123M. Scharrer1.206911101WAug 20 · 08:35E. Le1.251210114102M. Scharrer3.751012811123WJun 19 · 10:37M. Scharrer2.001211113L. Kraus1.7310870WJun 19 · 09:30M. Scharrer1.081111113D. Zech7.008980LJun 19 · 09:14I. Bertrand1.141111113M. Scharrer5.005870WJun 19 · 06:30M. Scharrer1.1411711113S. Happek5.00411931LJun 18 · 17:00M. Scharrer3.40111221182L. Qiu1.30914119113LJun 18 · 16:00M. Scharrer—111221182L. Qiu—914119113WJun 18 · 13:30M. Scharrer1.361111123K. Walter3.0077100WMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180
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