TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin Quals
WTT Feeder Berlin QualsMatch #12459773
Played Aug 20Finished
Ellsworth Le
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121010121184111012
Mauro Scharrer
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMauro Scharrer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEllsworth Le above · Mauro Scharrer below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 100 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Mauro Scharrer at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:31What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Le
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Le 60% vs Scharrer 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Le 50% vs Scharrer 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Le -1 · Scharrer +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Le) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Scharrer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLe 1.25 / Scharrer 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Le)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin Quals · #12459773
Le1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Scharrer3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeScharrerBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 6 / 1060%60%6 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeLe 1.25/Scharrer 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Le · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Scharrer won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Le10
LAug 5 · 11:15E. Le—981271F. Igarashi—111110113WAug 5 · 05:30E. Le—11116113P. Tungbovornphichet—951161WAug 4 · 12:25E. Le—211711113Y. Lee—11811682LJul 20 · 10:20S. Lee—1111113E. Le—6780WJul 20 · 03:35E. Le—11116143N. Bhatnagar—3911121WJul 19 · 09:40E. Le—1111113T. Suphanphasuch—6790WJan 28 · 07:35E. Le1.101111113R. Rustemovski5.407780LJan 27 · 14:00E. Le1.166580N. Artemenko4.451111113LNov 12 · 07:00F. Igarashi1.301311113E. Le3.4011360WNov 6 · 10:55R. Heras1.7331110E. Le2.001113113
M. Scharrer10
LAug 20 · 15:40C. Cozmolici4.3311115123M. Scharrer1.206911101WJun 19 · 10:37M. Scharrer2.001211113L. Kraus1.7310870WJun 19 · 09:30M. Scharrer1.081111113D. Zech7.008980LJun 19 · 09:14I. Bertrand1.141111113M. Scharrer5.005870WJun 19 · 06:30M. Scharrer1.1411711113S. Happek5.00411931LJun 18 · 17:00M. Scharrer3.40111221182L. Qiu1.30914119113LJun 18 · 16:00M. Scharrer—111221182L. Qiu—914119113WJun 18 · 13:30M. Scharrer1.361111123K. Walter3.0077100WJun 18 · 12:30M. Scharrer1.331111123K. Walter2.8577100WJun 18 · 12:00M. Scharrer1.731312113O. Kosolosky2.00111090
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