TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11843646
Played May 7Finished
Luis Kraus
Home
6.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711118117116––
Mike Hollo
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLuis Kraus above · Mike Hollo below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6
72 points played in total.
H2H Luis Kraus 0–2 Mike Hollo Luis Kraus has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Hollo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hollo form (40%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraus 6.50 / Hollo 1.10
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Hollo)-10.3pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11843646
Kraus6.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Hollo1.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKraus0wins
AwayHollo2wins
Hollo leads 2–0.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKrausHolloK − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match24.538.0−13.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrausHolloBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 168 vs 136 / 22735.1%59.9%59 / 168 vs 136 / 227Avg sets wonper match1.52.3per matchAvg pointsper match31.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolloKraus 6.50/Hollo 1.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.2%
Hollo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kraus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
L—L. Kraus—1M. Hollo—3
L—L. Kraus—0M. Hollo—3
L. Kraus10
WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730WAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113WAug 4 · 06:30J. Willeke2.63661141L. Kraus1.4411117113
M. Hollo10
WMay 19 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.40119571M. Hollo1.3081111113LMay 19 · 09:45I. Bertrand1.1781111113M. Hollo4.50116661WMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113WMay 18 · 17:00A. Itagaki3.4011114882M. Hollo1.30221111113LMay 18 · 15:30M. Hollo1.28117100L. Kraus3.501311123WMay 18 · 13:00M. Hollo1.071111113A. Cseri7.507670WMay 18 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.57961121M. Hollo2.2511116113WMay 18 · 09:30J. Loffler2.5011611131M. Hollo1.5081113153LMay 18 · 07:30I. Bertrand1.1712117113M. Hollo4.501081191LMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470
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