TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11907414
Played May 18Finished
Kirill Fadeev
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611116211––
Mike Hollo
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingKirill Fadeev above · Mike Hollo below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 67 set 4, 2-11
67 points played in total.
H2H Kirill Fadeev 2–1 Mike Hollo Mike Hollo has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hollo form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFadeev 1.57 / Hollo 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Fadeev)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11907414
Fadeev1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hollo2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFadeev2wins
AwayHollo1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderFadeev leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fadeev1Hollo2n = 3Hollo took 2 of 3
S2Fadeev2Hollo1n = 3Fadeev took 2 of 3
S3Fadeev1Hollo2n = 3Hollo took 2 of 3
S4Fadeev1Hollo2n = 3Hollo took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricFadeevHolloF − HBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.341.7+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFadeevHolloBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 172 vs 112 / 17772.1%63.3%124 / 172 vs 112 / 177Avg sets wonper match2.52.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevFadeev 1.57/Hollo 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hollo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LApr 14 · 09:44K. Fadeev—1M. Hollo—3
WApr 13 · 12:00K. Fadeev—3M. Hollo—2
WApr 21 · 13:00K. Fadeev—3M. Hollo—2
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121
M. Hollo10
WMay 19 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.40119571M. Hollo1.3081111113LMay 19 · 09:45I. Bertrand1.1781111113M. Hollo4.50116661WMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113WMay 18 · 17:00A. Itagaki3.4011114882M. Hollo1.30221111113LMay 18 · 15:30M. Hollo1.28117100L. Kraus3.501311123WMay 18 · 13:00M. Hollo1.071111113A. Cseri7.507670WMay 18 · 09:30J. Loffler2.5011611131M. Hollo1.5081113153LMay 18 · 07:30I. Bertrand1.1712117113M. Hollo4.501081191LMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470LMay 7 · 17:00L. Kraus6.5071111113M. Hollo1.10118761
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