TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11907373
Played May 18Finished
Mike Hollo
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11137111012––––
Luis Kraus
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingMike Hollo above · Luis Kraus below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 64 set 3, 10-12
64 points played in total.
H2H Mike Hollo 3–1 Luis Kraus Luis Kraus has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Hollo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraus form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHollo 1.28 / Kraus 3.50
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Hollo)+7.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11907373
Hollo1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kraus3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHollo3wins
AwayKraus1wins
Hollo leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHollo75%3 of 4
AwayKrausn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hollo4Kraus0n = 4Hollo took 4 of 4
S2Hollo3Kraus1n = 4Hollo took 3 of 4
S3Hollo1Kraus3n = 4Kraus took 3 of 4
S4Hollo2Kraus1n = 3Hollo took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHolloKrausH − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match37.230.8+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolloKrausBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 179 vs 60 / 17463.7%34.5%114 / 179 vs 60 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.41.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.331.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolloHollo 1.28/Kraus 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
80.1%
Hollo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kraus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 7 · 17:00M. Hollo—1L. Kraus—3
WMay 4 · 13:30M. Hollo—3L. Kraus—1
WJan 15 · 08:30M. Hollo—3L. Kraus—1
WNov 17 · 09:00M. Hollo—3L. Kraus—0
M. Hollo10
WMay 19 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.40119571M. Hollo1.3081111113LMay 19 · 09:45I. Bertrand1.1781111113M. Hollo4.50116661WMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113WMay 18 · 17:00A. Itagaki3.4011114882M. Hollo1.30221111113WMay 18 · 13:00M. Hollo1.071111113A. Cseri7.507670WMay 18 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.57961121M. Hollo2.2511116113WMay 18 · 09:30J. Loffler2.5011611131M. Hollo1.5081113153LMay 18 · 07:30I. Bertrand1.1712117113M. Hollo4.501081191LMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470LMay 7 · 17:00L. Kraus6.5071111113M. Hollo1.10118761
L. Kraus10
WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730WAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113WMay 7 · 17:00L. Kraus6.5071111113M. Hollo1.10118761
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