TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11906228
Played May 18Finished
Jeromy Loffler
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11861111131315––
Mike Hollo
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingJeromy Loffler above · Mike Hollo below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 88 set 4, 13-15
88 points played in total.
H2H Jeromy Loffler 2–2 Mike Hollo Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hollo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hollo form (0%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoffler 2.50 / Hollo 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Hollo)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11906228
Loffler2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Hollo1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLoffler2wins
AwayHollo2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loffler2Hollo2n = 4split evenly
S2Loffler3Hollo1n = 4Loffler took 3 of 4
S3Loffler1Hollo3n = 4Hollo took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricLofflerHolloL − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match30.231.8−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLofflerHolloBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 147 vs 111 / 17655.8%63.1%82 / 147 vs 111 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolloLoffler 2.50/Hollo 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Hollo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hollo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 4 · 12:00J. Loffler—0M. Hollo—3
WApr 13 · 08:00J. Loffler—3M. Hollo—0
LMar 12 · 16:00J. Loffler—1M. Hollo—3
WFeb 26 · 16:00J. Loffler—3M. Hollo—1
J. Loffler10
LAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771LAug 3 · 17:30J. Loffler—118621M. Neumaier—91111113WAug 3 · 16:00J. Willeke—631291J. Loffler—111110113WAug 3 · 14:00K. Zimmermann2.6012118141J. Loffler1.4214211163WAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:30J. Loffler2.357380A. Mino1.501111113WAug 3 · 08:00J. Loffler1.27811911113L. Kraus3.2511311692LJul 28 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.221111113J. Loffler3.804620WJul 28 · 09:45J. Loffler1.321111113K. Zimmermann3.006770WJul 28 · 07:30N. Kizakisz6.256640J. Loffler1.081111113
M. Hollo10
WMay 19 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.40119571M. Hollo1.3081111113LMay 19 · 09:45I. Bertrand1.1781111113M. Hollo4.50116661WMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113WMay 18 · 17:00A. Itagaki3.4011114882M. Hollo1.30221111113LMay 18 · 15:30M. Hollo1.28117100L. Kraus3.501311123WMay 18 · 13:00M. Hollo1.071111113A. Cseri7.507670WMay 18 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.57961121M. Hollo2.2511116113LMay 18 · 07:30I. Bertrand1.1712117113M. Hollo4.501081191LMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470LMay 7 · 17:00L. Kraus6.5071111113M. Hollo1.10118761
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