TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11907311
Played May 18Finished
Akito Itagaki
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
112112411811811
Mike Hollo
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
112112411811811
H2H Akito Itagaki 1–4 Mike Hollo Akito Itagaki has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Hollo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hollo form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsItagaki 3.40 / Hollo 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Hollo)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11907311
Itagaki3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hollo1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeItagaki1wins
AwayHollo4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderHollo leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeItagakin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHollo80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Itagaki0Hollo5n = 5Hollo took 5 of 5
S2Itagaki2Hollo3n = 5Hollo took 3 of 5
S3Itagaki2Hollo3n = 5Hollo took 3 of 5
S4Itagaki1Hollo2n = 3Hollo took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricItagakiHolloI − HBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match33.441.4−8.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricItagakiHolloBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 69 vs 114 / 18056.5%63.3%39 / 69 vs 114 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolloItagaki 3.40/Hollo 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.3%
Hollo · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hollo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LMay 4 · 09:00A. Itagaki—0M. Hollo—3
LApr 30 · 11:00A. Itagaki—1M. Hollo—3
LOct 31 · 12:10A. Itagaki—2M. Hollo—3
WOct 30 · 08:30A. Itagaki—3M. Hollo—2
LSep 29 · 16:35A. Itagaki—0M. Hollo—3
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153
M. Hollo10
WMay 19 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.40119571M. Hollo1.3081111113LMay 19 · 09:45I. Bertrand1.1781111113M. Hollo4.50116661WMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113LMay 18 · 15:30M. Hollo1.28117100L. Kraus3.501311123WMay 18 · 13:00M. Hollo1.071111113A. Cseri7.507670WMay 18 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.57961121M. Hollo2.2511116113WMay 18 · 09:30J. Loffler2.5011611131M. Hollo1.5081113153LMay 18 · 07:30I. Bertrand1.1712117113M. Hollo4.501081191LMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470LMay 7 · 17:00L. Kraus6.5071111113M. Hollo1.10118761
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