TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Andrii Tkachenko vs Ludek Madle 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111113811––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:54 and never touched: 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeLudek Madle to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Tkachenko above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Ludek Madle at 64.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Tkachenko 0–1 Ludek Madle Andrii Tkachenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5464.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 4.8pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Madle
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tkachenko 1121 vs Madle 1191
Madle
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkachenko 60% vs Madle 80%
Madle
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkachenko 70% vs Madle 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkachenko -1 · Madle +4
Madle
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Madle) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkachenko 2.625 / Madle 1.444
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Madle)-4.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13232318
Tkachenko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 36 days ago (Aug 28) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 14 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back18% 3 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Madle1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 01)
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 70 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it73% 52 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTkachenko0wins
AwayMadle1wins
Madle leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricTkachenkoMadleT − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.035.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkachenkoMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 42 vs 260 / 54247.6%48%20 / 42 vs 260 / 542Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MadleTkachenko 2.63/Madle 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Madle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 3 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2561180L. Madle351113113
A. Tkachenko10
WOct 3 · 07:30P. Serak2.757950A. Tkachenko1.401111113LAug 28 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.54511631L. Novotny2.1811911113WAug 28 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.40101212113J. Cernik1.3012101091WAug 28 · 07:30L. Novotny1.911110891A. Tkachenko1.8081211113WAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:28J. Strnad1.831114123A. Tkachenko1.83812100WAug 27 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.501111113L. Novotny1.506650LAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780WAug 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.10111110113J. Strnad1.67881231WAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151
L. Madle10
LOct 3 · 07:00L. Madle1.36116291J. Strnad3.0041111113WOct 1 · 13:30L. Madle1.6581113113J. Cernik2.101191181WOct 1 · 12:30C. Havrda3.002690L. Madle1.361111113WOct 1 · 11:30L. Madle1.5713111114183J. Cernik2.25159916162WOct 1 · 10:30L. Novotny1.8086110L. Madle1.911111133LSep 28 · 09:30L. Madle1.4311661142J. Martinek2.60711115113WSep 28 · 08:30L. Madle1.571111113J. Strnad2.256470WSep 28 · 07:00L. Madle1.4061111113M. Marjan2.75115851WSep 28 · 06:00J. Martinek1.91611661L. Madle1.8011911113LSep 24 · 09:30T. Kucera1.851411113L. Madle1.8512240
Upcoming Matches
A. Tkachenko
Nothing scheduled
L. Madle
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