TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ludek Madle vs Jaroslav Martinek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611611115411
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeLudek Madle to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Jaroslav Martinek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 83 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Ludek Madle at 64.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 1–0 Jaroslav Martinek Jaroslav Martinek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Madle beat Martinek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (65%)
Madle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Madle 1176 vs Martinek 1173
Madle
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madle 60% vs Martinek 80%
Martinek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madle 70% vs Martinek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Madle +3 · Martinek +2
Madle
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Madle) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 1.43 / Martinek 2.60
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Madle)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210031
Madle1.43
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 64 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it73% 49 of 67
Martinek2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 18 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMadle1wins
AwayMartinek0wins
Madle leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMadleMartinekMadle − MartinekBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.029.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleMartinekBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 547 vs 80 / 16447.5%48.8%260 / 547 vs 80 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleMadle 1.43/Martinek 2.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Martinek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 28 · 06:00L. Madle4211911113J. Martinek29611661
L. Madle10
WSep 28 · 08:30L. Madle1.571111113J. Strnad2.256470WSep 28 · 07:00L. Madle1.4061111113M. Marjan2.75115851WSep 28 · 06:00J. Martinek1.91611661L. Madle1.8011911113LSep 24 · 09:30T. Kucera1.851411113L. Madle1.8512240LSep 24 · 08:30L. Madle1.4415780J. Strnad2.631711113WSep 24 · 07:00L. Madle1.531116113J. Pantak2.3821490WSep 24 · 06:00T. Kucera2.0011611742L. Madle1.73711511113WSep 23 · 08:58L. Madle1.361113133M. Smesny3.00911110WSep 23 · 08:30M. Smesny2.63551161L. Madle1.4411119113LSep 23 · 07:30L. Madle1.83111191082L. Forman1.83591112113
J. Martinek10
WSep 28 · 08:00J. Martinek2.5016611113M. Marjan1.501411681WSep 28 · 07:30J. Strnad4.00114651J. Martinek1.2271111113LSep 28 · 06:00J. Martinek1.91611661L. Madle1.8011911113WSep 26 · 09:30J. Martinek1.521115113L. Novotny2.3571390WSep 26 · 08:30L. Novotny1.91126691J. Martinek1.80101111113WSep 26 · 07:30J. Martinek1.7311711133D. Tomasch2.005118111LSep 26 · 06:30J. Cernik2.6311119113J. Martinek1.44481181LSep 20 · 09:29V. Stach1.25117711113J. Martinek3.7571111782WSep 20 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.8067111182J. Martinek1.91111168113LSep 20 · 07:30J. Martinek3.50911118102V. Stach1.28115911123
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