TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Kucera vs Ludek Madle 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Kucera
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611115711411
Ludek Madle
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kucera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Kucera above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 84 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Kucera at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kucera 4–5 Ludek Madle Tomas Kucera has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:01What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Madle
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucera 1161 vs Madle 1163
Madle
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucera 60% vs Madle 40%
Kucera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucera 60% vs Madle 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucera +2 · Madle +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Madle) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucera 2.00 / Madle 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Madle)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182587
Kucera2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Madle1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 62 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it72% 48 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKucera4wins
AwayMadle5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderMadle leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucera66.7%2 of 3
AwayMadle66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucera3Madle6n = 9Madle took 6 of 9
S2Kucera4Madle5n = 9Madle took 5 of 9
S3Kucera4Madle5n = 9Madle took 5 of 9
S4Kucera2Madle2n = 4split evenly
S5Kucera2Madle1n = 3Kucera took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricKuceraMadleK − MBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match33.336.6−3.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuceraMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 208 vs 259 / 54749%47.4%102 / 208 vs 259 / 547Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleKucera 2.00/Madle 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Madle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 24 · 06:00T. Kucera3911611742L. Madle45711511113
WSep 23 · 06:30T. Kucera45911311113L. Madle4011611842
WMay 11 · 07:00T. Kucera331111113L. Madle258890
WFeb 17 · 08:00T. Kucera381314113L. Madle31111280
WJan 15 · 09:30T. Kucera45831111123L. Madle45111185102
LJan 14 · 01:30T. Kucera2391040L. Madle341112113
LNov 11 · 07:30T. Kucera2578100L. Madle341111123
LJul 2 · 09:00T. Kucera30911911L. Madle4211911113
LJul 2 · 06:00T. Kucera228950L. Madle331111113
T. Kucera10
WSep 23 · 09:30T. Kucera2.35811413153L. Forman1.521191111132WSep 23 · 08:00L. Forman1.506990T. Kucera2.501111113LSep 23 · 07:00M. Smesny2.38111110113T. Kucera1.53891281WSep 23 · 06:30T. Kucera1.73911311113L. Madle2.0011611842LAug 26 · 03:30T. Kucera1.60791171J. Grohsgott2.2011118113WAug 26 · 02:00T. Kucera2.6311311113J. Grohsgott1.44511491LAug 26 · 01:00T. Kucera2.101191051V. Stach1.6781112113WAug 26 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.67811921T. Kucera2.1011911113WAug 25 · 22:30J. Martinek1.7311060T. Kucera2.001112113LAug 17 · 08:58A. Hejduk1.911411113T. Kucera1.8012760
L. Madle10
WSep 24 · 07:00L. Madle1.531116113J. Pantak2.3821490WSep 23 · 08:58L. Madle1.361113133M. Smesny3.00911110WSep 23 · 08:30M. Smesny2.63551161L. Madle1.4411119113LSep 23 · 07:30L. Madle1.83111191082L. Forman1.83591112113LSep 23 · 06:30T. Kucera1.73911311113L. Madle2.0011611842LSep 21 · 08:58L. Madle1.5377111172J. Cernik2.38111176113WSep 21 · 08:30L. Madle1.611111113J. Cernik2.206490LSep 21 · 07:00L. Madle2.20911451M. Vaclavik1.6111411113LSep 21 · 06:00J. Srba2.2512139113L. Madle1.5710111171WSep 17 · 12:58L. Madle2.0012121110113Z. Kasinski1.731010131272
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