TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Miroslav Vaclavik vs Zdenek Kasinski 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181148111311––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kasinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Zdenek Kasinski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 77 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Zdenek Kasinski at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 1–1 Zdenek Kasinski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:06What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Vaclavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vaclavik 1246 vs Kasinski 1177
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclavik 40% vs Kasinski 60%
Kasinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclavik 60% vs Kasinski 40%
Vaclavik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclavik +2 · Kasinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasinski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 1.70 / Kasinski 2.02
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Vaclavik)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200277
Vaclavik1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 45 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Kasinski2.02
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back33% 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVaclavik1wins
AwayKasinski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVaclavikKasinskiV − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match40.040.5−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikKasinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 205 vs 65 / 14554.6%44.8%112 / 205 vs 65 / 145Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVaclavik 1.70/Kasinski 2.02
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 26 · 10:00M. Vaclavik4051111582Z. Kasinski46117611113
WSep 17 · 11:00M. Vaclavik4071111113Z. Kasinski35119691
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 26 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.36111011113J. Cernik3.00712381WSep 26 · 11:30M. Vrabec2.502320M. Vaclavik1.501111113LSep 26 · 10:00M. Vaclavik2.3851111582Z. Kasinski1.53117611113LSep 21 · 13:01M. Vaclavik1.836790J. Cernik1.831111113LSep 21 · 12:00L. Novotny2.2511119113M. Vaclavik1.57771181LSep 21 · 11:00M. Smesny2.38614118113M. Vaclavik1.53111281172WSep 21 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.301112113J. Cernik3.4061010WSep 21 · 09:28J. Srba1.30561141M. Vaclavik3.4011114113LSep 21 · 08:00J. Srba1.531311113M. Vaclavik2.3811900WSep 21 · 07:00L. Madle2.20911451M. Vaclavik1.6111411113
Z. Kasinski10
WSep 26 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.8081111103M. Vrabec1.91112341LSep 26 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.331711117102J. Cernik3.25194911123WSep 26 · 10:00M. Vaclavik2.3851111582Z. Kasinski1.53117611113LSep 20 · 13:30M. Syroha1.481111133Z. Kasinski2.4576110WSep 20 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.25911611113J. Cernik3.7511611672WSep 20 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.00711211113V. Stach1.7311211982LSep 20 · 10:00M. Syroha1.5071111113Z. Kasinski2.50118551LSep 17 · 12:58L. Madle2.0012121110113Z. Kasinski1.731010131272LSep 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.57111441L. Madle2.2511811113LSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113
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