TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Miroslav Vaclavik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711911––––
Jaromir Cernik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 12–5 Jaromir Cernik Jaromir Cernik has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 3h before this match
Vaclavik beat Cernik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vaclavik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 1.83 / Cernik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vaclavik)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169765
Vaclavik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Cernik1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVaclavik9wins
AwayCernik1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVaclavik leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVaclavik100%7 of 7
AwayCernik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vaclavik7Cernik3n = 10Vaclavik took 7 of 10
S2Vaclavik6Cernik4n = 10Vaclavik took 6 of 10
S3Vaclavik9Cernik1n = 10Vaclavik took 9 of 10
S4Vaclavik4Cernik1n = 5Vaclavik took 4 of 5
S5Vaclavik3Cernik1n = 4Vaclavik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVaclavikCernikV − CBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.134.1+8.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 201 vs 368 / 80554.7%45.7%110 / 201 vs 368 / 805Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVaclavik 1.83/Cernik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 10:30M. Vaclavik341112113J. Cernik1761010
WSep 21 · 06:30M. Vaclavik331111113J. Cernik154380
WSep 18 · 07:30M. Vaclavik4681111163J. Cernik421189141
WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik351111133J. Cernik2485110
WJul 24 · 02:00M. Vaclavik351311113J. Cernik2611690
WJun 12 · 24:30M. Vaclavik331111113J. Cernik227870
LMay 23 · 13:30M. Vaclavik52413111682J. Cernik591115814113
WMay 23 · 10:00M. Vaclavik491113311113J. Cernik4691511652
WMay 19 · 23:00M. Vaclavik50128118113J. Cernik39101151122
WApr 12 · 22:30M. Vaclavik541131811113J. Cernik51131116652
M. Vaclavik10
LSep 21 · 12:00L. Novotny2.2511119113M. Vaclavik1.57771181LSep 21 · 11:00M. Smesny2.38614118113M. Vaclavik1.53111281172WSep 21 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.301112113J. Cernik3.4061010WSep 21 · 09:28J. Srba1.30561141M. Vaclavik3.4011114113LSep 21 · 08:00J. Srba1.531311113M. Vaclavik2.3811900WSep 21 · 07:00L. Madle2.20911451M. Vaclavik1.6111411113WSep 21 · 06:30M. Vaclavik1.401111113J. Cernik2.754380LSep 18 · 09:28L. Novotny2.3811133123M. Vaclavik1.5351111101WSep 18 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.67118811113M. Marjan2.1081111592WSep 18 · 07:30J. Cernik3.001189141M. Vaclavik1.3681111163
J. Cernik10
WSep 21 · 12:30M. Smesny1.838711131J. Cernik1.8311114153LSep 21 · 11:30J. Cernik1.736970L. Novotny2.001111113LSep 21 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.301112113J. Cernik3.4061010WSep 21 · 08:58L. Madle1.5377111172J. Cernik2.38111176113LSep 21 · 08:30L. Madle1.611111113J. Cernik2.206490LSep 21 · 07:30J. Cernik2.00115581J. Srba1.7371111113LSep 21 · 06:30M. Vaclavik1.401111113J. Cernik2.754380WSep 20 · 13:09V. Stach1.679131091J. Cernik2.10111112113LSep 20 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.25911611113J. Cernik3.7511611672LSep 18 · 07:30J. Cernik3.001189141M. Vaclavik1.3681111163
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