TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Miroslav Vaclavik vs Jaromir Cernik 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171012113118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 71.2%
73 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 12–6 Jaromir Cernik Jaromir Cernik has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Vaclavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-6 in 18
Vaclavik
Correct
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vaclavik 1237 vs Cernik 1135
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclavik 20% vs Cernik 40%
Cernik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclavik 50% vs Cernik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclavik +1 · Cernik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Vaclavik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 1.36 / Cernik 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Vaclavik)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13195190
Vaclavik1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 45 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Cernik3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 51 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVaclavik8wins
AwayCernik2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVaclavik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVaclavik100%7 of 7
AwayCernik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vaclavik7Cernik3n = 10Vaclavik took 7 of 10
S2Vaclavik6Cernik4n = 10Vaclavik took 6 of 10
S3Vaclavik8Cernik2n = 10Vaclavik took 8 of 10
S4Vaclavik3Cernik1n = 4Vaclavik took 3 of 4
S5Vaclavik2Cernik1n = 3Vaclavik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVaclavikCernikV − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.932.3+6.6per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 204 vs 359 / 79154.4%45.4%111 / 204 vs 359 / 791Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVaclavik 1.36/Cernik 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 13:01M. Vaclavik226790J. Cernik331111113
WSep 21 · 10:30M. Vaclavik341112113J. Cernik1761010
WSep 21 · 06:30M. Vaclavik331111113J. Cernik154380
WSep 18 · 07:30M. Vaclavik4681111163J. Cernik421189141
WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik351111133J. Cernik2485110
WJul 24 · 02:00M. Vaclavik351311113J. Cernik2611690
WJun 12 · 00:30M. Vaclavik331111113J. Cernik227870
LMay 23 · 13:30M. Vaclavik52413111682J. Cernik591115814113
WMay 23 · 10:00M. Vaclavik491113311113J. Cernik4691511652
WMay 19 · 23:00M. Vaclavik50128118113J. Cernik39101151122
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 26 · 11:30M. Vrabec2.502320M. Vaclavik1.501111113LSep 26 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.6151111582Z. Kasinski2.20117611113LSep 21 · 13:01M. Vaclavik1.836790J. Cernik1.831111113LSep 21 · 12:00L. Novotny2.2511119113M. Vaclavik1.57771181LSep 21 · 11:00M. Smesny2.38614118113M. Vaclavik1.53111281172WSep 21 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.301112113J. Cernik3.4061010WSep 21 · 09:28J. Srba1.30561141M. Vaclavik3.4011114113LSep 21 · 08:00J. Srba1.531311113M. Vaclavik2.3811900WSep 21 · 07:00L. Madle2.20911451M. Vaclavik1.6111411113WSep 21 · 06:30M. Vaclavik1.401111113J. Cernik2.754380
J. Cernik10
WSep 26 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.331711117102J. Cernik3.25194911123LSep 26 · 10:30J. Cernik2.759660M. Vrabec1.401111113WSep 26 · 08:58D. Tomasch1.229460J. Cernik4.001111113LSep 26 · 08:00D. Tomasch1.301111113J. Cernik3.408260LSep 26 · 07:00L. Novotny1.80119115123J. Cernik1.91811811102WSep 26 · 06:30J. Cernik2.6311119113J. Martinek1.44481181WSep 21 · 13:01M. Vaclavik1.836790J. Cernik1.831111113WSep 21 · 12:30M. Smesny1.838711131J. Cernik1.8311114153LSep 21 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.301112113J. Cernik3.4061010LSep 21 · 06:30M. Vaclavik1.401111113J. Cernik2.754380
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