TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
David Tomasch vs Jaromir Cernik 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
David Tomasch
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118112116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Tomasch to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Tomasch above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held David Tomasch at 75.1%
49 points played in total.
H2H David Tomasch 4–4 Jaromir Cernik Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:08What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Tomasch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tomasch 1192 vs Cernik 1160
Tomasch
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tomasch 20% vs Cernik 60%
Cernik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tomasch 20% vs Cernik 40%
Cernik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tomasch -4 · Cernik -1
Tomasch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Tomasch) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTomasch 1.30 / Cernik 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Tomasch)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13195796
Tomasch1.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 15 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Cernik3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 51 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTomasch4wins
AwayCernik4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTomasch60%3 of 5
AwayCernik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tomasch5Cernik3n = 8Tomasch took 5 of 8
S2Tomasch4Cernik4n = 8split evenly
S3Tomasch6Cernik2n = 8Tomasch took 6 of 8
S4Tomasch0Cernik3n = 3Cernik took 3 of 3
S5Tomasch1Cernik2n = 3Cernik took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricTomaschCernikT − CBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match33.534.2−0.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTomaschCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 159 vs 357 / 78749.1%45.4%78 / 159 vs 357 / 787Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TomaschTomasch 1.30/Cernik 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Tomasch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tomasch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WMay 13 · 06:30D. Tomasch341112113J. Cernik2151060
WMar 31 · 08:30D. Tomasch331111113J. Cernik184950
LMar 20 · 07:30D. Tomasch48111016922J. Cernik513121411113
WJan 28 · 00:30D. Tomasch331111113J. Cernik216780
LAug 9 · 09:07D. Tomasch137150J. Cernik331111113
LAug 9 · 07:30D. Tomasch186390J. Cernik331111113
LJul 2 · 01:00D. Tomasch4111412862J. Cernik529111011113
WJan 7 · 00:30D. Tomasch48911116113J. Cernik4511891162
D. Tomasch10
LSep 26 · 07:30J. Martinek1.7311711133D. Tomasch2.005118111LSep 26 · 06:00D. Tomasch1.67119661L. Novotny2.1091111113LJun 19 · 02:00D. Tomasch2.7511630S. Mazanek1.401311113LJun 19 · 01:00D. Tomasch1.911121171J. Potensky1.8013115113WJun 19 · 00:00P. Kulhanek1.6111101161D. Tomasch2.2011213113LJun 18 · 22:30L. Madle1.671411133D. Tomasch2.10123110LJun 17 · 02:30S. Mazanek1.571111113D. Tomasch2.256950LJun 17 · 01:00J. Potensky1.9111114113D. Tomasch1.80651181WJun 16 · 23:30D. Tomasch1.571111510133A. Hejduk2.25671112112LJun 16 · 22:00D. Tomasch1.806330M. Vaclavik1.911111113
J. Cernik10
LSep 26 · 07:00L. Novotny1.80119115123J. Cernik1.91811811102WSep 26 · 06:30J. Cernik2.6311119113J. Martinek1.44481181WSep 21 · 13:01M. Vaclavik1.836790J. Cernik1.831111113WSep 21 · 12:30M. Smesny1.838711131J. Cernik1.8311114153LSep 21 · 11:30J. Cernik1.736970L. Novotny2.001111113LSep 21 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.301112113J. Cernik3.4061010WSep 21 · 08:58L. Madle1.5377111172J. Cernik2.38111176113LSep 21 · 08:30L. Madle1.611111113J. Cernik2.206490LSep 21 · 07:30J. Cernik2.00115581J. Srba1.7371111113LSep 21 · 06:30M. Vaclavik1.401111113J. Cernik2.754380
Upcoming Matches
D. Tomasch
Nothing scheduled
J. Cernik
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