TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
David Tomasch vs Ladislav Novotny 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
David Tomasch
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911611611––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:26 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeDavid Tomasch to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Tomasch above · Ladislav Novotny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held David Tomasch at 58.6%
74 points played in total.
H2H David Tomasch 0–1 Ladislav Novotny David Tomasch has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tomasch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tomasch 1206 vs Novotny 1172
Tomasch
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tomasch 20% vs Novotny 60%
Novotny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tomasch 40% vs Novotny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tomasch -2 · Novotny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tomasch) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTomasch 1.67 / Novotny 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Tomasch)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13194743
Tomasch1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 99 days ago (Jun 19) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 15 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Novotny2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 38 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTomasch0wins
AwayNovotny1wins
Novotny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTomaschNovotnyT − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match32.042.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTomaschNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 159 vs 189 / 38149.1%49.6%78 / 159 vs 189 / 381Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TomaschTomasch 1.67/Novotny 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Tomasch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 26 · 06:00D. Tomasch32119661L. Novotny4291111113
D. Tomasch10
LJun 19 · 02:00D. Tomasch2.7511630S. Mazanek1.401311113LJun 19 · 01:00D. Tomasch1.911121171J. Potensky1.8013115113WJun 19 · 00:00P. Kulhanek1.6111101161D. Tomasch2.2011213113LJun 18 · 22:30L. Madle1.671411133D. Tomasch2.10123110LJun 17 · 02:30S. Mazanek1.571111113D. Tomasch2.256950LJun 17 · 01:00J. Potensky1.9111114113D. Tomasch1.80651181WJun 16 · 23:30D. Tomasch1.571111510133A. Hejduk2.25671112112LJun 16 · 22:00D. Tomasch1.806330M. Vaclavik1.911111113WJun 5 · 09:30D. Tomasch1.73111213113J. Potensky2.0013101121WJun 5 · 08:00M. Vrabec2.63511751D. Tomasch1.4411811113
L. Novotny10
LSep 21 · 13:30M. Smesny1.3511112113L. Novotny2.95871191WSep 21 · 12:00L. Novotny2.2511119113M. Vaclavik1.57771181WSep 21 · 11:30J. Cernik1.736970L. Novotny2.001111113LSep 21 · 10:00L. Novotny2.638920M. Smesny1.441111113WSep 19 · 08:59L. Novotny1.5781111113J. Hyrsl2.25118451WSep 19 · 08:30J. Hyrsl2.00114771L. Novotny1.7381111113LSep 19 · 07:30L. Novotny3.509980M. Syroha1.281111113LSep 19 · 06:30M. Vrabec2.6391115113L. Novotny1.441171371LSep 18 · 13:30L. Novotny1.85118971J. Cernik1.8581111113WSep 18 · 12:30J. Strnad2.206780L. Novotny1.611111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.