TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Vrabec vs Miroslav Vaclavik 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211311211––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:57 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Vrabec above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 40 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 65.3%
40 points played in total.
H2H Milan Vrabec 0–3 Miroslav Vaclavik Milan Vrabec has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vaclavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Vaclavik
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vrabec 1174 vs Vaclavik 1225
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vrabec 40% vs Vaclavik 20%
Vrabec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vrabec 30% vs Vaclavik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vrabec +1 · Vaclavik -4
Vaclavik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVrabec 2.50 / Vaclavik 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Vaclavik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13194899
Vrabec2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog26% won 25 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Vaclavik1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 45 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVrabec0wins
AwayVaclavik3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVaclavik leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVrabecn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayVaclavik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vrabec0Vaclavik3n = 3Vaclavik took 3 of 3
S2Vrabec1Vaclavik2n = 3Vaclavik took 2 of 3
S3Vrabec2Vaclavik1n = 3Vrabec took 2 of 3
S4Vrabec1Vaclavik2n = 3Vaclavik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVrabecVaclavikVrabec − VaclavikBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match40.748.0−7.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVrabecVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 343 vs 110 / 20351%54.2%175 / 343 vs 110 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVrabec 2.50/Vaclavik 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 19 · 13:00M. Vrabec35912951M. Vaclavik43111011113
LJul 19 · 12:00M. Vrabec368711101M. Vaclavik4311119123
LJun 7 · 08:00M. Vrabec51911121542M. Vaclavik5811131013113
M. Vrabec10
LSep 26 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.8081111103M. Vrabec1.91112341WSep 26 · 10:30J. Cernik2.759660M. Vrabec1.401111113LSep 19 · 09:28M. Syroha1.36118911113M. Vrabec3.0091111082LSep 19 · 08:00M. Syroha1.441111113M. Vrabec2.636520LSep 19 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.44111149113M. Vrabec2.6384111162WSep 19 · 06:30M. Vrabec2.6391115113L. Novotny1.441171371LSep 14 · 09:30J. Srba1.181111113M. Vrabec4.058720WSep 14 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.401411113J. Cernik2.7512660LSep 14 · 07:00M. Vrabec1.449790D. Mutl2.631111113LSep 14 · 06:00J. Srba1.2081111113M. Vrabec4.33118981
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 26 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.36111011113J. Cernik3.00712381LSep 21 · 13:01M. Vaclavik1.836790J. Cernik1.831111113LSep 21 · 12:00L. Novotny2.2511119113M. Vaclavik1.57771181LSep 21 · 11:00M. Smesny2.38614118113M. Vaclavik1.53111281172WSep 21 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.301112113J. Cernik3.4061010WSep 21 · 09:28J. Srba1.30561141M. Vaclavik3.4011114113LSep 21 · 08:00J. Srba1.531311113M. Vaclavik2.3811900WSep 21 · 07:00L. Madle2.20911451M. Vaclavik1.6111411113WSep 21 · 06:30M. Vaclavik1.401111113J. Cernik2.754380LSep 18 · 09:28L. Novotny2.3811133123M. Vaclavik1.5351111101
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