TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Zdenek Kasinski vs Milan Vrabec 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811112113104––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kasinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Kasinski above · Milan Vrabec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 10-4
Point 60 set 4, 10-4 — our read held Zdenek Kasinski at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kasinski 1–2 Milan Vrabec Zdenek Kasinski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kasinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasinski 1166 vs Vrabec 1162
Kasinski
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasinski 60% vs Vrabec 20%
Kasinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasinski 40% vs Vrabec 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasinski -1 · Vrabec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kasinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vrabec form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasinski 1.80 / Vrabec 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kasinski)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13194916
Kasinski1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite31% won 10 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it53% 9 of 17
Vrabec1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog26% won 25 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKasinski1wins
AwayVrabec2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVrabec leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasinski2Vrabec1n = 3Kasinski took 2 of 3
S2Kasinski1Vrabec2n = 3Vrabec took 2 of 3
S3Kasinski0Vrabec3n = 3Vrabec took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKasinskiVrabecK − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.041.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasinskiVrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 144 vs 175 / 34444.4%50.9%64 / 144 vs 175 / 344Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasinskiKasinski 1.80/Vrabec 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kasinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kasinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 13 · 12:30Z. Kasinski215880M. Vrabec331111113
LAug 14 · 17:30Z. Kasinski36118981M. Vrabec4291111113
WAug 14 · 15:00Z. Kasinski42111115143M. Vrabec48591111122
Z. Kasinski10
LSep 26 · 13:30M. Vaclavik1.7011118133Z. Kasinski2.028411111LSep 26 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.331711117102J. Cernik3.25194911123WSep 26 · 10:00M. Vaclavik2.3851111582Z. Kasinski1.53117611113LSep 20 · 13:30M. Syroha1.481111133Z. Kasinski2.4576110WSep 20 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.25911611113J. Cernik3.7511611672WSep 20 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.00711211113V. Stach1.7311211982LSep 20 · 10:00M. Syroha1.5071111113Z. Kasinski2.50118551LSep 17 · 12:58L. Madle2.0012121110113Z. Kasinski1.731010131272LSep 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.57111441L. Madle2.2511811113LSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113
M. Vrabec10
WSep 26 · 13:04M. Vrabec1.3511711123J. Cernik2.909115101LSep 26 · 11:30M. Vrabec2.502320M. Vaclavik1.501111113WSep 26 · 10:30J. Cernik2.759660M. Vrabec1.401111113LSep 19 · 09:28M. Syroha1.36118911113M. Vrabec3.0091111082LSep 19 · 08:00M. Syroha1.441111113M. Vrabec2.636520LSep 19 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.44111149113M. Vrabec2.6384111162WSep 19 · 06:30M. Vrabec2.6391115113L. Novotny1.441171371LSep 14 · 09:30J. Srba1.181111113M. Vrabec4.058720WSep 14 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.401411113J. Cernik2.7512660LSep 14 · 07:00M. Vrabec1.449790D. Mutl2.631111113
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