TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Vrabec vs Jaromir Cernik 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1197111151210––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMilan Vrabec above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 76 set 4, 12-10
76 points played in total.
H2H Milan Vrabec 33–7 Jaromir Cernik Jaromir Cernik has won 7 of their 40 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Vrabec beat Cernik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Vrabec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vrabec form (20%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVrabec 1.35 / Cernik 2.90
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Vrabec)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200300
Vrabec1.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 67 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Cernik2.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 51 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVrabec7wins
AwayCernik3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVrabec leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVrabec83.3%5 of 6
AwayCernik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vrabec6Cernik4n = 10Vrabec took 6 of 10
S2Vrabec8Cernik2n = 10Vrabec took 8 of 10
S3Vrabec6Cernik4n = 10Vrabec took 6 of 10
S4Vrabec3Cernik2n = 5Vrabec took 3 of 5
S5Vrabec2Cernik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVrabecCernikV − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.834.2+3.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVrabecCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 345 vs 359 / 79250.7%45.3%175 / 345 vs 359 / 792Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VrabecVrabec 1.35/Cernik 2.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.7%
Vrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 10:30M. Vrabec331111113J. Cernik219660
WSep 14 · 08:30M. Vrabec361411113J. Cernik2412660
WAug 23 · 13:15M. Vrabec331111113J. Cernik199460
LAug 23 · 11:00M. Vrabec42411511112J. Cernik46117114133
WAug 15 · 12:00M. Vrabec49129116113J. Cernik46101161182
LJul 22 · 13:28M. Vrabec206590J. Cernik331111113
WJul 22 · 11:00M. Vrabec351311113J. Cernik2611780
WJul 11 · 07:00M. Vrabec3741111113J. Cernik36117991
LJun 28 · 09:30M. Vrabec4111116762J. Cernik45661111113
WJun 28 · 08:30M. Vrabec521211711113J. Cernik4614911842
M. Vrabec10
LSep 26 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.8081111103M. Vrabec1.91112341LSep 26 · 11:30M. Vrabec2.502320M. Vaclavik1.501111113WSep 26 · 10:30J. Cernik2.759660M. Vrabec1.401111113LSep 19 · 09:28M. Syroha1.36118911113M. Vrabec3.0091111082LSep 19 · 08:00M. Syroha1.441111113M. Vrabec2.636520LSep 19 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.44111149113M. Vrabec2.6384111162WSep 19 · 06:30M. Vrabec2.6391115113L. Novotny1.441171371LSep 14 · 09:30J. Srba1.181111113M. Vrabec4.058720WSep 14 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.401411113J. Cernik2.7512660LSep 14 · 07:00M. Vrabec1.449790D. Mutl2.631111113
J. Cernik10
LSep 26 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.36111011113J. Cernik3.00712381WSep 26 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.331711117102J. Cernik3.25194911123LSep 26 · 10:30J. Cernik2.759660M. Vrabec1.401111113WSep 26 · 08:58D. Tomasch1.229460J. Cernik4.001111113LSep 26 · 08:00D. Tomasch1.301111113J. Cernik3.408260LSep 26 · 07:00L. Novotny1.80119115123J. Cernik1.91811811102WSep 26 · 06:30J. Cernik2.6311119113J. Martinek1.44481181WSep 21 · 13:01M. Vaclavik1.836790J. Cernik1.831111113WSep 21 · 12:30M. Smesny1.838711131J. Cernik1.8311114153LSep 14 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.401411113J. Cernik2.7512660
Upcoming Matches
M. Vrabec
Nothing scheduled
J. Cernik
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