TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yaroslav Makovka vs Oleksandr Blashkun 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511711911––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Blashkun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Oleksandr Blashkun below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Blashkun at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 8–5 Oleksandr Blashkun Oleksandr Blashkun has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Blashkun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Makovka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1553 vs Blashkun 1572
Blashkun
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 40% vs Blashkun 0%
Makovka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 50% vs Blashkun 30%
Makovka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka +1 · Blashkun -5
Blashkun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Blashkun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blashkun form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 2.00 / Blashkun 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Blashkun)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13197014
Makovka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 44 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Blashkun1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 27 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it67% 20 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakovka7wins
AwayBlashkun3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMakovka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakovka75%6 of 8
AwayBlashkunn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makovka8Blashkun2n = 10Makovka took 8 of 10
S2Makovka5Blashkun5n = 10split evenly
S3Makovka6Blashkun4n = 10Makovka took 6 of 10
S4Makovka4Blashkun2n = 6Makovka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakovkaBlashkunM − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.932.2+4.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaBlashkunBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 375 vs 91 / 19440.3%46.9%151 / 375 vs 91 / 194Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlashkunMakovka 2.00/Blashkun 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Blashkun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blashkun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 10:30Y. Makovka4011117113O. Blashkun29561171
LAug 29 · 17:40Y. Makovka4011611572O. Blashkun50811911113
WJul 5 · 06:00Y. Makovka45481111113O. Blashkun4011116932
WJul 4 · 17:10Y. Makovka4111811113O. Blashkun28311681
WJun 14 · 08:30Y. Makovka331111113O. Blashkun258890
WJun 13 · 15:40Y. Makovka341111123O. Blashkun2055100
WJun 7 · 10:30Y. Makovka44111111113O. Blashkun26551331
WJun 6 · 13:10Y. Makovka331111113O. Blashkun239770
LMay 17 · 11:05Y. Makovka4311111381O. Blashkun4781315113
LMay 16 · 15:40Y. Makovka1624100O. Blashkun341111123
Y. Makovka10
WSep 26 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.44791161Y. Makovka2.6311117113LSep 20 · 11:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.441131114113Y. Makovka2.6381121682LSep 20 · 10:00Y. Makovka2.63311100Y. Holoborodko1.441113123WSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113LSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711117113Y. Makovka4.50591171LSep 20 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.2811112113Y. Makovka3.50761131WSep 19 · 12:05Y. Makovka2.251615710113Y. Kovshun1.571413111282WSep 19 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.44614761Y. Makovka2.63111211113LSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492WSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981
O. Blashkun10
LSep 26 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411115143O. Blashkun2.639711121LSep 24 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.2081113113O. Blashkun1.611191191LSep 24 · 16:10O. Blashkun1.9110730A. Zozulia1.801211113LSep 24 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.611121011113O. Blashkun2.2041112572LSep 24 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.33791111113O. Blashkun3.2511117822WSep 24 · 11:10V. Merzlikin2.50661111O. Blashkun1.5011118113WSep 23 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.6761111113Y. Holoborodko2.10119791WSep 23 · 15:40O. Zhyrnov1.53711291O. Blashkun2.3811811113LSep 23 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6114911113O. Blashkun2.201211441LSep 23 · 12:40O. Blashkun1.674118101D. Habrelyan2.1011211123
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