TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhenii Holoborodko vs Oleksandr Blashkun 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111191311119––
Oleksandr Blashkun
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Blashkun to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Oleksandr Blashkun below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Blashkun at 59.3%
83 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 13–18 Oleksandr Blashkun Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Blashkun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-18 in 31
Blashkun
Wrong
gap of 5 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1504 vs Blashkun 1586
Blashkun
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 0% vs Blashkun 40%
Blashkun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 20% vs Blashkun 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko -8 · Blashkun -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Blashkun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blashkun form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 2.20 / Blashkun 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Blashkun)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13185694
Holoborodko2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 70 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Blashkun1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 26 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it68% 19 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoloborodko4wins
AwayBlashkun6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBlashkun leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoloborodko33.3%1 of 3
AwayBlashkun57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holoborodko3Blashkun7n = 10Blashkun took 7 of 10
S2Holoborodko5Blashkun5n = 10split evenly
S3Holoborodko4Blashkun6n = 10Blashkun took 6 of 10
S4Holoborodko5Blashkun4n = 9Holoborodko took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoloborodkoBlashkunH − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.340.8−6.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoBlashkunBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 658 vs 91 / 19251.4%47.4%338 / 658 vs 91 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlashkunHoloborodko 2.20/Blashkun 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Blashkun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko36119791O. Blashkun3961111113
WAug 30 · 04:30Y. Holoborodko3851111113O. Blashkun31115691
WAug 16 · 04:30Y. Holoborodko42411212133O. Blashkun521191110112
LAug 15 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko29611481O. Blashkun4111811113
WAug 9 · 05:00Y. Holoborodko3721212113O. Blashkun3911101081
LAug 8 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2131260O. Blashkun361114113
LJul 23 · 12:10Y. Holoborodko28118541O. Blashkun4291111113
WJul 18 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko3511112113O. Blashkun34961181
LJul 4 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko49891111102O. Blashkun51111198123
LJul 2 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko28631271O. Blashkun43111110113
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 24 · 15:40V. Merzlikin1.67115511113Y. Holoborodko2.1081111952LSep 24 · 13:40V. Maksuta1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.502970LSep 24 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.20111144112A. Zozulia1.61881111133LSep 24 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7361112143Y. Holoborodko2.0011410121LSep 23 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.6761111113Y. Holoborodko2.10119791LSep 23 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.634111111102D. Habrelyan1.44117137123LSep 23 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.73117511113Y. Holoborodko2.0051111632LSep 23 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.507980WSep 23 · 11:10O. Zhyrnov1.4055111162Y. Holoborodko2.75111179113WSep 20 · 11:00R. Pomin1.61127121192Y. Holoborodko2.201411108113
O. Blashkun10
LSep 24 · 16:10O. Blashkun1.9110730A. Zozulia1.801211113LSep 24 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.611121011113O. Blashkun2.2041112572LSep 24 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.33791111113O. Blashkun3.2511117822WSep 24 · 11:10V. Merzlikin2.50661111O. Blashkun1.5011118113WSep 23 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.6761111113Y. Holoborodko2.10119791WSep 23 · 15:40O. Zhyrnov1.53711291O. Blashkun2.3811811113LSep 23 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6114911113O. Blashkun2.201211441LSep 23 · 12:40O. Blashkun1.674118101D. Habrelyan2.1011211123LSep 23 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.6171111113O. Blashkun2.20118891LAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113
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