TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Roman Pomin
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12147111210118911
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeRoman Pomin to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 105 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Roman Pomin at 58.1%
105 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 6–4 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Pomin
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1602 vs Holoborodko 1551
Pomin
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 40% vs Holoborodko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 60% vs Holoborodko 30%
Pomin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin +1 · Holoborodko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 1.61 / Holoborodko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pomin)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161078
Pomin1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 12 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Holoborodko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 67 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePomin6wins
AwayHoloborodko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPomin leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePomin71.4%5 of 7
AwayHoloborodko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pomin7Holoborodko3n = 10Pomin took 7 of 10
S2Pomin2Holoborodko8n = 10Holoborodko took 8 of 10
S3Pomin7Holoborodko1n = 8Pomin took 7 of 8
S4Pomin5Holoborodko3n = 8Pomin took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPominHoloborodkoP − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.637.7+3.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 139 vs 336 / 64851.8%51.9%72 / 139 vs 336 / 648Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PominPomin 1.61/Holoborodko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Pomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin51119911113Y. Holoborodko4591111682
LJul 18 · 11:10R. Pomin335101171Y. Holoborodko4311129113
WJul 4 · 11:10R. Pomin3961111113Y. Holoborodko33118681
WMay 23 · 11:10R. Pomin4011611123Y. Holoborodko334118101
WMay 9 · 14:40R. Pomin3711411113Y. Holoborodko30411691
WApr 4 · 14:40R. Pomin4211911113Y. Holoborodko31811481
LJan 24 · 17:40R. Pomin49128118102Y. Holoborodko491011511123
R. Pomin10
WSep 20 · 09:00A. Droshchynskyi1.6111121171R. Pomin2.2013146113LSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113LSep 20 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn2.0051112113R. Pomin1.731181051WSep 20 · 05:30R. Pomin2.20117911113M. Tiutiunnyk1.6171111252LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682LAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 15 · 11:10R. Pomin1.73111139113O. Blashkun2.0098111142WAug 13 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.831171071R. Pomin1.8351112113
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 20 · 10:00Y. Makovka2.63311100Y. Holoborodko1.441113123WSep 20 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.44111181192Y. Holoborodko2.63133112113LSep 20 · 06:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.73711511113Y. Holoborodko2.0011911992LSep 20 · 04:30A. Droshchynskyi1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.756960LSep 19 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.6334120A. Droshchynskyi1.441111143LSep 19 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571211113Y. Holoborodko2.2510680LSep 19 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.001011119142A. Zozulia1.73125711163WSep 19 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7381111952Y. Holoborodko2.00119711113LSep 17 · 17:10Y. Holoborodko1.804101141A. Zozulia1.9111128113LAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682
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