TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Tiutiunnyk vs Yaroslav Makovka 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911117611––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Tiutiunnyk above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 68.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Tiutiunnyk 23–14 Yaroslav Makovka Yaroslav Makovka has won 14 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-14 in 37
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
gap of 9 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1630 vs Makovka 1538
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 60% vs Makovka 20%
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 60% vs Makovka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk +1 · Makovka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 1.44 / Makovka 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13196134
Tiutiunnyk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 65 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it80% 37 of 46
Makovka2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 20)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 44 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk7wins
AwayMakovka3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayMakovka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk6Makovka4n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 6 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk6Makovka4n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 6 of 10
S3Tiutiunnyk8Makovka2n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 8 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk4Makovka4n = 8split evenly
S5Tiutiunnyk2Makovka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykMakovkaT − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.936.9+4.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 407 vs 151 / 37549.6%40.3%202 / 407 vs 151 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykTiutiunnyk 1.44/Makovka 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk33791161Y. Makovka4011117113
WSep 20 · 11:30M. Tiutiunnyk501131114113Y. Makovka4581121682
WAug 2 · 06:35M. Tiutiunnyk351311113Y. Makovka1511130
WJul 24 · 15:30M. Tiutiunnyk4211119113Y. Makovka33591181
WJun 13 · 11:10M. Tiutiunnyk341112113Y. Makovka2461080
LJun 7 · 09:00M. Tiutiunnyk4611911782Y. Makovka48811711113
WJun 6 · 14:40M. Tiutiunnyk4012512113Y. Makovka4010111091
WMay 3 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk44611115113Y. Makovka3911851142
WApr 19 · 10:00M. Tiutiunnyk4261111143Y. Makovka371195121
LMar 29 · 05:00M. Tiutiunnyk4371161182Y. Makovka48117118113
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 26 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.201271291M. Tiutiunnyk1.61101114103WSep 24 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.9171111113A. Zozulia1.80115961LSep 24 · 15:10V. Maksuta1.4441211113M. Tiutiunnyk2.631110621WSep 24 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.611121011113O. Blashkun2.2041112572LSep 24 · 13:10V. Merzlikin1.501111109113M. Tiutiunnyk2.5034121152WSep 24 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7361112143Y. Holoborodko2.0011410121WSep 23 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.571191111113D. Habrelyan2.2513119752LSep 23 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.731211113M. Tiutiunnyk2.0010290WSep 23 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.73117511113Y. Holoborodko2.0051111632LSep 23 · 13:10O. Zhyrnov1.531111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.385350
Y. Makovka10
LSep 26 · 13:40A. Droshchynskyi1.201111123Y. Makovka4.3374100LSep 26 · 12:40Y. Makovka2.00115791O. Blashkun1.7391111113LSep 20 · 11:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.441131114113Y. Makovka2.6381121682LSep 20 · 10:00Y. Makovka2.63311100Y. Holoborodko1.441113123WSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113LSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711117113Y. Makovka4.50591171LSep 20 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.2811112113Y. Makovka3.50761131WSep 19 · 12:05Y. Makovka2.251615710113Y. Kovshun1.571413111282WSep 19 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.44614761Y. Makovka2.63111211113LSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492
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