TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Marud vs Grzegorz Jurowicz 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Grzegorz Marud
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911811––––
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Marud to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGrzegorz Marud above · Grzegorz Jurowicz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Grzegorz Marud at 67.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Marud 4–2 Grzegorz Jurowicz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Marud
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Marud
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marud 1399 vs Jurowicz 1313
Marud
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marud 80% vs Jurowicz 60%
Marud
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marud 50% vs Jurowicz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marud +2 · Jurowicz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Marud) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarud 1.40 / Jurowicz 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Marud)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13176708
Marud1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 133 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it87% 80 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it70% 107 of 152
Jurowicz2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 92 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMarud4wins
AwayJurowicz2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderMarud leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarud66.7%4 of 6
AwayJurowiczn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marud6Jurowicz0n = 6Marud took 6 of 6
S2Marud4Jurowicz2n = 6Marud took 4 of 6
S3Marud2Jurowicz4n = 6Jurowicz took 4 of 6
S4Marud1Jurowicz3n = 4Jurowicz took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMarudJurowiczM − JBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match35.828.2+7.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarudJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime656 / 1377 vs 313 / 79347.6%39.5%656 / 1377 vs 313 / 793Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudMarud 1.40/Jurowicz 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.3%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 15 · 22:35G. Marud4011117113G. Jurowicz23741111
LSep 15 · 15:00G. Marud29116571G. Jurowicz3631111113
WSep 8 · 21:45G. Marud331111113G. Jurowicz175660
WSep 8 · 17:45G. Marud331111113G. Jurowicz209470
WDec 23 · 23:00G. Marud51111199113G. Jurowicz3536111142
LDec 23 · 21:45G. Marud29117381G. Jurowicz3851111113
G. Marud10
WSep 22 · 15:00G. Marud1.80121211113M. Adamus1.9110101361WSep 22 · 05:05G. Marud1.57871111113P. Slosarczyk2.2011119972LSep 22 · 03:30G. Marud2.09111377112S. Szostok1.536111111133WSep 22 · 01:50G. Marud1.751112311113M. Sikon1.9571411762WSep 22 · 24:30G. Marud1.91611911113M. Baron1.7811911882LSep 21 · 23:30G. Marud1.86119951P. Kurek1.6991111113LSep 21 · 22:20M. Baron1.951111113G. Marud1.756950LSep 21 · 21:30S. Szostok1.571115113G. Marud2.0261370LSep 21 · 20:45G. Marud1.541111961P. Slosarczyk2.2513911113WSep 21 · 19:10G. Marud1.861211118113P. Kurek1.8014511152
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 22 · 15:25G. Jurowicz2.251021141L. Oracz1.5712118113LSep 18 · 02:00M. Koczyba1.4571111113G. Jurowicz2.50116691WSep 18 · 01:10M. Lebek1.3781180G. Jurowicz2.701113113WSep 18 · 24:25G. Jurowicz3.15612116113P. Polok1.30111091192WSep 17 · 22:50G. Jurowicz2.50111211113M. Tkocz1.45714451WSep 17 · 22:00M. Adamus1.57611861G. Jurowicz2.1511811113LSep 17 · 20:45G. Jurowicz3.203250P. Zemla1.271111113LSep 17 · 19:10G. Jurowicz2.9551020M. Koczyba1.361112113LSep 17 · 18:00G. Jurowicz2.50331681W. Pytlas1.43111114113WSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560
Upcoming Matches
G. Marud
Sep 22 · 17:45G. Marud1.83M. Koczyba1.83—Sep 22 · 18:55G. Marud1.73J. Nowak2.00—Sep 22 · 20:30G. Marud1.91L. Oracz1.80—Sep 22 · 21:45G. Marud1.40G. Jurowicz2.75—Sep 22 · 22:35G. Marud1.80M. Adamus1.91—Sep 23 · 24:10G. Marud1.91L. Oracz1.80—Sep 23 · 01:00G. Marud1.73J. Nowak2.00—Sep 23 · 01:45G. Marud1.83M. Koczyba1.83—
G. Jurowicz
Sep 22 · 17:20G. Jurowicz2.00M. Adamus1.73—Sep 22 · 18:30G. Jurowicz2.20M. Koczyba1.61—Sep 22 · 19:40G. Jurowicz1.61J. Nowak2.20—Sep 22 · 21:45G. Jurowicz2.75G. Marud1.40—Sep 22 · 22:55G. Jurowicz2.25L. Oracz1.57—Sep 22 · 23:45G. Jurowicz1.57J. Nowak2.25—Sep 23 · 24:35G. Jurowicz2.20M. Koczyba1.61—Sep 23 · 02:10G. Jurowicz2.38M. Adamus1.53—
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